Bayesian analysis under accelerated failure time models with error-prone time-to-event outcomes.

Abstract

We consider accelerated failure time models with error-prone time-to-event outcomes. The proposed models extend the conventional accelerated failure time model by allowing time-to-event responses to be subject to measurement errors. We describe two measurement error models, a logarithm transformation regression measurement error model and an additive error model with a positive increment, to delineate possible scenarios of measurement error in time-to-event outcomes. We develop Bayesian approaches to conduct statistical inference. Efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms are developed to facilitate the posterior inference. Extensive simulation studies are conducted to assess the performance of the proposed method, and an application to a study of Alzheimer's disease is presented.