Military Epidemics, Then and Now: Smallpox and COVID-19.

Abstract

We compared the COVID-19 experience in the first year of the current pandemic in the US with the smallpox experience of the 18th century, focusing on the US military but recognizing civilian and military populations are not separate and distinct. Despite the epidemics being separated by 21/2 centuries and with great advancements in technology having occurred over that time, we observed similarities which led us to several conclusions: • Infectious disease outbreaks will continue to occur and novel agents, naturally occurring or manipulated by humans, will threaten military and civilian populations nationally and globally. • Infectious disease outbreaks can affect both military and civilian populations, persist for long periods, and be catastrophic to military peacetime and wartime operations. • Effective surveillance is a prerequisite for early identification and subsequent meaningful responses to novel and reemerging threat agents and diseases. • Socio-cultural, religious, or political factors may limit the implementation of effective interventions in military or civilian populations. Public health officials must assess impediments to implementation of interventions and develop plans to overcome them.