Synchronization and cyclicality of social spending in economic crises.

IF 1.9 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Empirica Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-08-06 DOI:10.1007/s10663-022-09545-w
Luis Ayala-Cañón, María Jesús Delgado-Rodríguez, Sonia De Lucas-Santos
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

This paper expands the analysis of the cyclical characteristics of social spending by providing information on its joint behaviour across OECD countries. With this aim we propose the use of dynamic factor analysis and recursive models to estimate synchronization and cyclicality of social policies within a broad perspective. By considering the synchronization of social spending it is possible to assess the short-run characteristics of the joint response to changes in the economic cycle. We find that synchronization of social spending was only possible for advanced economies, achieving the highest countercyclical stabilization effect during the Global Financial Crisis. Emerging market economies are not able to join the synchronized response, maintaining independent and, in most cases, procyclical stances in the behaviour of their social policies.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10663-022-09545-w.

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经济危机中社会支出的同步性和周期性。
本文通过提供经合组织国家社会支出共同行为的信息,扩展了对社会支出周期性特征的分析。为此,我们建议使用动态因素分析和递归模型来广泛评估社会政策的同步性和周期性。通过考虑社会支出的同步性,就有可能评估对经济周期变化的联合反应的短期特征。我们发现,只有发达经济体才有可能实现社会支出的同步,在全球金融危机期间实现了最高的逆周期稳定效应。新兴市场经济体无法加入同步反应,在其社会政策行为上保持独立的、在多数情况下是顺周期的立场。补充信息:在线版本包含补充资料,提供地址:10.1007/s10663-022-09545-w。
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来源期刊
Empirica
Empirica ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
2.70
自引率
7.70%
发文量
24
期刊介绍: Empirica is a peer-reviewed journal, which publishes original research of general interest to an international audience. Authors are invited to submit empirical papers in all areas of economics with a particular focus on European economies. Per January 2021, the editors also solicit descriptive papers on current or unexplored topics. Founded in 1974, Empirica is the official journal of the Nationalökonomische Gesellschaft (Austrian Economic Association) and is published in cooperation with Austrian Institute of Economic Research (WIFO). The journal aims at a wide international audience and invites submissions from economists around the world. Officially cited as: Empirica
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