Environmental Futures, Now and Then:

IF 0.9 3区 哲学 Q2 HISTORY & PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE Osiris Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI:10.1086/703910
L. Garforth
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Postwar environmental concern has been powerfully shaped by projections of ecological catastrophe. Indeed, it can be said that the global environment as an object of social and political concern came into existence in part through narratives of future crisis. This article explores two successive framings of environmental crisis and the kinds of knowledges that made them up. It examines the announcement of ecological limits to economic growth in the early 1970s, the culmination of an early wave of popular green concern that modeled the future as a choice between the catastrophic continuation of business as usual and the prospect of eco-utopian alternatives. It considers the crisis logics of contemporary climate dynamics, where the power of scientific modeling leaves little room for the imagination of radically different futures. Environmental crisis now cannot perform the anticipatory and utopian functions that it once did. The “apocalyptic horizon” of limits has given way to the collapse of crisis into the present and new kinds of colonization of the future. But in both cases, environmental crisis can be read as a science-fictional object, simultaneously descriptive and speculative, scientific and fictional. Science fiction tropes were crucial to early constructions of environmental crisis, and speculative climate fiction will be a vital resource for negotiating the social-natural futures of the Anthropocene.
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环境的未来,现在和未来:
战后对环境的关注受到生态灾难预测的强烈影响。的确,可以说,全球环境作为一个社会和政治关注的对象,部分是通过对未来危机的叙述而出现的。本文探讨了环境危机的两个连续框架以及构成它们的各种知识。它考察了20世纪70年代早期关于经济增长的生态限制的声明,这是早期流行的绿色关注浪潮的高潮,这种关注将未来建模为在照常经营的灾难性延续和生态乌托邦替代方案的前景之间做出选择。它考虑了当代气候动力学的危机逻辑,其中科学建模的力量几乎没有给完全不同的未来留下想象的空间。环境危机现在不能像过去那样发挥预期和乌托邦的作用。极限的“世界末日地平线”已经让位于危机的崩溃,进入现在和未来的新型殖民。但在这两种情况下,环境危机都可以被解读为科幻小说的对象,同时具有描述性和思辨性,科学性和虚构性。科幻小说的比喻对早期环境危机的构建至关重要,而投机的气候小说将成为谈判人类世社会-自然未来的重要资源。
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来源期刊
Osiris
Osiris 管理科学-科学史与科学哲学
CiteScore
1.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
18
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Founded in 1936 by George Sarton, and relaunched by the History of Science Society in 1985, Osiris is an annual thematic journal that highlights research on significant themes in the history of science. Recent volumes have included Scientific Masculinities, History of Science and the Emotions, and Data Histories.
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Front and Back Matter Notes on the Contributors Acknowledgments Statecraft by Algorithms Introduction
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