Book review of “Observation and Experiment: An Introduction to Causal Inference” by Paul R. Rosenbaum

Dylan S. Small
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Abstract

The economist Paul Samuelson said, “My belief is that nothing that can be expressed by mathematics cannot be expressed by careful use of literary words.” Paul Rosenbaum brings this perspective to causal inference in his new book Observation and Experiment: An Introduction to Causal Inference (Harvard University Press, 2017). The book is a luminous presentation of concepts and strategies for causal inference with a minimum of technical material. An example of how Rosenbaum explains causal inference in a literary way is his use of a passage from Robert Frost’s poem “The Road Not Taken” to illuminate how causal questions involve comparing potential outcomes under two or more treatments where we can only see one potential outcome:
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保罗·罗森鲍姆《观察与实验:因果推理导论》书评
经济学家保罗·萨缪尔森(Paul Samuelson)说:“我的信念是,任何能用数学表达的东西,都不能通过仔细使用文学词汇来表达。”保罗·罗森鲍姆(Paul Rosenbaum)在他的新书《观察与实验:因果推理导论》(哈佛大学出版社,2017年)中将这一观点带入因果推理。这本书是一个发光的概念和策略的因果推理与最低限度的技术材料。罗森鲍姆如何用文学的方式解释因果推理的一个例子是,他使用了罗伯特·弗罗斯特的诗《未选择的路》中的一段来说明因果问题是如何涉及在两种或多种处理下比较潜在结果的,而我们只能看到一种潜在结果:
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