Nominal, Structural and Real Convergence of the EU Candidate Countries’ Economies

IF 1.7 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice Pub Date : 2021-01-02 DOI:10.2139/ssrn.3923309
D. Bobeva
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Abstract Despite the significant academic interest in the economic cohesion, the various aspects of convergence and the ways they can be measured still remain theoretically unclear. These are issues of extreme political significance, especially for countries aspiring for EU and euro area membership. The goal of this paper is to consolidate a variety of theoretical views on the convergence and its measurement and use it as the basis to assess the progress and the current state of economic convergence to the EU of the four candidate countries. The interrelation between the three forms of convergence in the different phases of the economic cycle is studied and the slobs in the ways the convergence is measured are outlined. The study reveals large differences between the candidate countries in achieving convergence with the EU. Their experiences do not confirm the positive relationship between nominal and real convergence. The structural convergence considered as convergence of sectoral structure has but little impact on the real convergence.
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欧盟候选国经济的名义、结构和实际趋同
尽管学术界对经济凝聚力有着浓厚的兴趣,但从理论上讲,趋同的各个方面及其测量方法仍然不清楚。这些都是具有极端政治意义的问题,尤其是对那些渴望加入欧盟和欧元区的国家而言。本文的目的是巩固关于趋同及其测度的各种理论观点,并以此为基础评估四个候选国向欧盟经济趋同的进展和现状。本文研究了经济周期不同阶段的三种收敛形式之间的相互关系,并概述了收敛测量方法中的缺陷。该研究揭示了候选国家在实现与欧盟趋同方面的巨大差异。他们的经验并不能证实名义收敛与实际收敛之间的正相关关系。被认为是行业结构趋同的结构性趋同对实际趋同的影响不大。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.80
自引率
57.10%
发文量
31
审稿时长
7 weeks
期刊介绍: Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice is a scientific journal dedicated to publishing quality papers and disseminating original, relevant and applicable economic research. Scientific and professional papers that are published in the Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice cover theoretical and practical aspects of central banking, monetary policy, including the supervision issues, as well as banking and management in central banks. The purpose of the journal is to educate the general public about the key issues that the central bankers globally face, as well as about contemporary research and achievements in the field of central banking theory and practice.
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