URBAN MOBILITY SCENARIO EVALUATION IN A POST-COVID-19 ERA

Abstract

This paper brings an evaluation of different mobility scenarios in the context of COVID-19 pandemic. The mobility is a fundamental human need, a manifestation of an integrated society and an individual and rational act. Building scenarios offer a means of dealing with critical issues of innovation, reflexivity and framing in analysing change in socio-economic systems. Forecasting, exploratory or backcasting scenarios, they are all analysed from the point of view of collective behavioral choice, public policy or technology. The pandemic brought first a serious decrease in traffic and mobility imposing a lockdown, but after it generated an amplified transition to private motorised transport, as public transport is a potent force in disease spread. And this is translated by congestion and pollution. Luckily, based on the same priciples, walking and cycling gained particular importance. A key element in the concept of sustainable development is the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions.