Forecasting tropical cyclone wind hazards and impacts: Summary from the Tenth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-10)

Abstract

In this paper, we summarize findings from the Tenth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-10) subgroup on forecasting wind hazards and impacts. We found that new approaches to TC wind hazard forecasts continue to be developed and are becoming an increasingly common product offered by operational centres. To add greater context to wind risk information for users, many operational and research centres are also working to develop impact-based forecasts that incorporate hazard, vulnerability, and exposure data. Efforts to develop tropical cyclone wind impact forecasts present resourcing challenges, and when compared to wind hazard forecasting, are generally still in their infancy. Overall, both operational and research centres are extending significant efforts to meet the strong public need for accurate predictions of TC wind hazards and impacts around the world.