Optimal policies in an ageing society

IF 1.9 3区 经济学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Journal of the Economics of Ageing Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI:10.1016/j.jeoa.2023.100475
Richard Jaimes , Ed Westerhout
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Abstract

We analyze optimal social security in an overlapping generations model with demographic change and endogenous retirement. Households choose to spend the second period of their lives in full retirement if the tax rate on labor income exceeds a threshold. This threshold is increasing in life expectancy and decreasing in the fertility rate, which implies that both types of demographic change increase the relevance of the partial retirement case: both an increase in life expectancy and a drop in fertility imply that retirement is delayed. We also show that when the government decides about retirement, the command optimum can be replicated through social security policies if the laissez-faire equilibrium features capital overaccumulation. When households decide about their retirement themselves, however, replication of the command optimum is not possible. In both cases, it is optimal to expand social security when longevity increases and to reduce it when fertility drops.

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老龄化社会的最优政策
我们在人口结构变化和内生退休的重叠世代模型中分析了最优社会保障。如果劳动收入的税率超过阈值,家庭会选择在完全退休的情况下度过人生的第二段时间。这一阈值的预期寿命在增加,生育率在下降,这意味着这两种类型的人口变化都增加了部分退休情况的相关性:预期寿命的增加和生育率的下降都意味着退休被推迟。我们还表明,当政府决定退休时,如果自由放任均衡以资本过度积累为特征,那么可以通过社会保障政策复制命令最优。然而,当家庭自己决定退休时,不可能复制最佳指挥。在这两种情况下,当寿命增加时扩大社会保障,当生育率下降时减少社会保障是最佳的。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.10
自引率
4.50%
发文量
46
审稿时长
49 days
期刊介绍: The Journal of the Economics of Ageing (JEoA) is an international academic journal that publishes original theoretical and empirical research dealing with the interaction between demographic change and the economy. JEoA encompasses both microeconomic and macroeconomic perspectives and offers a platform for the discussion of topics including labour, health, and family economics, social security, income distribution, social mobility, immigration, productivity, structural change, economic growth and development. JEoA also solicits papers that have a policy focus.
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