How Do Campaigns Matter? Independents, Political Information, and the Enlightening Role of Campaigns in Mexico

IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q2 COMMUNICATION International Journal of Public Opinion Research Pub Date : 2021-03-23 DOI:10.1093/IJPOR/EDAA029
Rodrigo Castro Cornejo
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引用次数: 9

Abstract

Based on the Mexican case, this study finds that voters who report low levels of campaign information are more likely to update their vote intention as election day gets closer. Moreover, in contrast to previous studies which argue that political campaigns mainly persuade voters to support candidates against their precampaign dispositions, this article shows that, by the end of the campaign, most voters support the candidate best aligned with their underlying political predispositions—partisanship and presidential approval. In other words, voters become enlightened. This effect is particularly important among independents, a portion of the electorate understudied by the literature on Latin American political behavior.
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竞选活动有多重要?独立人士、政治信息和墨西哥运动的启蒙作用
基于墨西哥的案例,本研究发现,随着选举日的临近,报告竞选信息水平较低的选民更有可能更新他们的投票意向。此外,与先前的研究相反,这些研究认为政治竞选主要是说服选民支持候选人,而不是他们在竞选前的倾向,这篇文章表明,到竞选结束时,大多数选民支持的候选人最符合他们潜在的政治倾向-党派和总统的认可。换句话说,选民变得开明了。这种影响在独立选民中尤为重要,他们是拉美政治行为研究文献中未充分研究的一部分选民。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.10
自引率
11.10%
发文量
23
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Public Opinion Research welcomes manuscripts that describe: - studies of public opinion that contribute to theory development and testing about political, social and current issues, particularly those that involve comparative analysis; - the role of public opinion polls in political decision making, the development of public policies, electoral behavior, and mass communications; - evaluations of and improvements in the methodology of public opinion surveys.
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