Effect of Climate Change on Rainfall in the Upper Basin of Chicamocha River in 1980-2012

IF 0.7 Q3 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY TECCIENCIA Pub Date : 2019-09-09 DOI:10.18180/TECCIENCIA.2018.24.9
L. Garavito, Carlos Andrés Caro Camargo
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Abstract

Indications suggest that anthropic activities have altered the atmospheric composition, causing alterations in elements generating extreme weather events and contributing to what we know today as global warming, through global and local changes in the rain regime and other climatic variables that interact in the hydrological cycle, causing extreme events with greater frequency. It is necessary to know the trends and extreme events of rains in order to have a basis for the adaptation and prevention of natural disasters caused by these macroclimatic phenomena. Through non-parametric tests, we found an increasing trend in rainfall between 5% to 20% average, in comparison with the behavior in the period of 1980 to 1990. Similarly, the influence of the macroclimatic variables in rainfall behavior is null.
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1980-2012年气候变化对Chicamocha河上游流域降水的影响
有迹象表明,人类活动改变了大气成分,通过全球和局部雨势的变化以及水文循环中相互作用的其他气候变量,导致极端天气事件的要素发生变化,并导致我们今天所知的全球变暖,从而导致极端事件的频率更高。有必要了解降雨的趋势和极端事件,以便为适应和预防这些大气候现象造成的自然灾害奠定基础。通过非参数测试,我们发现与1980年至1990年期间的行为相比,降雨量呈平均5%至20%的增长趋势。同样,大气候变量对降雨行为的影响是零的。
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来源期刊
TECCIENCIA
TECCIENCIA ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-
自引率
66.70%
发文量
20
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