How do industrialization and agricultural land use affect urban population in Turkey? Policy implications in the context of SDGs

IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Journal of Policy Modeling Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI:10.1016/j.jpolmod.2023.08.004
Volkan Göçoğlu , Serkan Göksu
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Abstract

Urban population growth in Turkey has been increasing rapidly since the middle of the 20th century. The escalating population, particularly in urban regions, has emerged as a critical challenge in achieving sustainable urban management. The Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) 2, 9, and 11 present various avenues for governments to adress this predicament. This study employs the framework of multiple stream model, offering a valuable lens through which policies can identify opportune moments for policy implementation. The study examines the impact of industrialization and agricultural land use on the country's urban population while identifying potential opportunities for enhancing sustainable urban management in alignment with the SDGs. Subsequently, it critically examines the asymmetrical effects of these two significant factors on the urban population, formulating policy recommendations based on the empirical findings. The study concludes by stressing the significance of prioritizing sustainable, long-term agricultural and industrialization policies outlined in national policy documents rather than relying on short-term and temporary solutions.

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工业化和农业用地如何影响土耳其的城市人口?可持续发展目标背景下的政策影响
自 20 世纪中叶以来,土耳其城市人口增长迅速。人口的不断增长,尤其是城市地区人口的不断增长,已成为实现可持续城市管理的关键挑战。可持续发展目标(SDG)2、9 和 11 为政府解决这一困境提供了多种途径。本研究采用了多流模型框架,为政策提供了一个宝贵的视角,通过这一视角可以确定政策实施的时机。本研究探讨了工业化和农业用地使用对该国城市人口的影响,同时确定了根据可持续发展目标加强可持续城市管理的潜在机会。随后,研究批判性地探讨了这两个重要因素对城市人口的不对称影响,并根据实证研究结果提出了政策建议。研究最后强调,应优先考虑国家政策文件中概述的可持续长期农业和工业化政策,而不是依赖短期和临时的解决方案。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.20
自引率
11.40%
发文量
76
期刊介绍: The Journal of Policy Modeling is published by Elsevier for the Society for Policy Modeling to provide a forum for analysis and debate concerning international policy issues. The journal addresses questions of critical import to the world community as a whole, and it focuses upon the economic, social, and political interdependencies between national and regional systems. This implies concern with international policies for the promotion of a better life for all human beings and, therefore, concentrates on improved methodological underpinnings for dealing with these problems.
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