An Interrupted Time Series Analysis of the Sociodemographics of Crash Victims during the Illinois Stay at Home Order

Mickey Edwards
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Abstract

The race/ethnicity and gender of motor vehicle crash victims during the 2020 Illinois stay at home order are compared to previous years. The median poverty rate of crash victims are compared across the five years of 2016-20, finding that poverty is strongly associated with Black male and female crash victims. Several contributing crash factors like speed, distracted driving, seat belt use, and intoxication are also compared. Within race/ethnicity females significantly decreased their proportion of crash involvement while males significantly increased theirs. An interrupted time series analysis and a segmented binary logistic regression are used in conjunction with a presentation of summary statistics.
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伊利诺斯州住家令期间车祸受害者的社会人口学中断时间序列分析
将2020年伊利诺伊州居家令期间车祸受害者的种族/族裔和性别与往年进行比较。对2016-20年五年的车祸受害者的平均贫困率进行了比较,发现贫困与黑人男性和女性车祸受害者密切相关。还比较了速度、分心驾驶、安全带使用和醉酒等几个促成车祸的因素。在种族/民族中,女性参与车祸的比例显著降低,而男性则显著增加。中断时间序列分析和分段二元逻辑回归与汇总统计的展示结合使用。
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