The Application of the Simplified Speculative Frame Method for Monitoring the Development of the Housing Market

IF 1.1 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Real Estate Management and Valuation Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI:10.2478/remav-2022-0008
Justyna Brzezicka
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Abstract

Abstract This article contributes to research into price dynamics on the real estate market. It proposes a simplified index-based speculative frame method for measuring above-average increases and decreases in real estate prices and monitoring market performance. The theoretical part of the article reviews the literature on the implications of real estate market stability on the economy, monitoring market development, and standard methods for analyzing the housing market with special emphasis on index-based methods. The experimental part of the article presents the results of a study analyzing more than 100,000 transactions on the Warsaw housing market between 2004 and 2015, a period characterized by a considerable increase in house prices. The price dynamics of apartments on the Warsaw real estate market was determined with the use of a time variable. The turning point in the market trend was identified. This article contributes to research into price dynamics on the real estate market.
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简化投机框架法在住宅市场发展监测中的应用
摘要本文有助于研究房地产市场的价格动态。它提出了一种简化的基于指数的投机框架方法,用于衡量房地产价格的高于平均水平的上涨和下跌,并监测市场表现。文章的理论部分回顾了有关房地产市场稳定对经济的影响、监测市场发展以及分析住房市场的标准方法的文献,特别是基于指数的方法。文章的实验部分介绍了一项研究的结果,该研究分析了2004年至2015年间华沙住房市场上超过10万笔交易,这一时期的房价大幅上涨。华沙房地产市场上公寓的价格动态是通过使用时间变量来确定的。市场趋势的转折点已经确定。本文有助于研究房地产市场的价格动态。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Real Estate Management and Valuation
Real Estate Management and Valuation Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Finance
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
25.00%
发文量
24
审稿时长
23 weeks
期刊介绍: Real Estate Management and Valuation (REMV) is a journal that publishes new theoretical and practical insights that improve our understanding in the field of real estate valuation, analysis and property management. The aim of the Polish Real Estate Scientific Society (Towarzystwo Naukowe Nieruchomości) is developing and disseminating knowledge about land management and the methods, techniques and principles of real estate valuation and the popularization of scientific achievements in this field, as well as their practical applications in the activities of economic entities.
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