Health expenditure, life expectancy, fertility rate, CO2 emissions and economic growth Do public, private and external health expenditure matter

M. Sabra
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Abstract

This article aims to detect empirically, the nexus dynamic interrelationships between health expenditure, totally and disaggregated, economic growth, fertility rate, life expectancy and CO2 emissions in six middle-income MENA countries, namely, (Algeria, Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, Morocco, and Tunisia), during 2000 to 2019. We employ an advanced econometric technique, Dynamic Panel Data system analysis, which allows estimating time rarely variant variables. Article results show a significant and robust positive association between health expenditure and economic growth, in one hand, and negative associations between economic growth and all which of, fertility rate, life expectancy and CO2 emissions, on the other hand. Moreover, a negative nexus between fertility rate and life expectancy has been detected. Public, private and external health expenditure affect economic growth positively and significantly, meanwhile affect fertility rate negatively, except health public expenditure, which seems to encourage fertility rate. This indicates that disaggregated health expenditure matters for examination. Furthermore, negative impact of CO2 emissions on growth and life expectancy can crowd out health expenditure positive impacts on both growth and life expectancy. A series of recommendations have been introduced such as increasing health share in public spending, and for more effective government health expenditure and control pollution and CO2 emissions. Furthermore, health spending, policies and system has to function as well to mitigate impacts of high fertility, in marginalized, rural and fungible population and areas. This article shines a light on the notable issues in the area, whereas high fertility rate, limited government health expenditure, high employment and low awareness for pollution and environment degradation.
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保健支出、预期寿命、生育率、二氧化碳排放和经济增长对公共、私人和外部保健支出都很重要
本文旨在实证研究2000年至2019年期间,中东和北非6个中等收入国家(阿尔及利亚、埃及、约旦、黎巴嫩、摩洛哥和突尼斯)的总体和分类卫生支出与经济增长、生育率、预期寿命和二氧化碳排放之间的联系动态相互关系。我们采用了一种先进的计量经济学技术,动态面板数据系统分析,它允许估计时间很少变变量。研究结果表明,卫生支出与经济增长之间存在显著的正相关关系,而经济增长与生育率、预期寿命和二氧化碳排放之间存在负相关关系。此外,还发现生育率与预期寿命之间存在负相关关系。公共、私人和外部卫生支出对经济增长产生积极而显著的影响,同时对生育率产生消极影响,但卫生公共支出似乎鼓励生育率。这表明分类保健支出值得审查。此外,二氧化碳排放对增长和预期寿命的负面影响可能会挤掉卫生支出对增长和预期寿命的积极影响。已经提出了一系列建议,例如增加公共支出中卫生方面的份额,以及提高政府卫生支出的效率和控制污染和二氧化碳排放。此外,卫生支出、政策和制度也必须发挥作用,减轻高生育率对边缘化、农村和可替代人口和地区的影响。这篇文章揭示了该地区值得注意的问题,即高生育率、有限的政府卫生支出、高就业率和对污染和环境退化的认识不足。
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