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Economic and Political Dynamics of Globalization: A Review of Continuity and Change in Research Focus 全球化的经济和政治动态:研究重点的连续性和变化回顾
IF 2.4 Pub Date : 2024-05-16 DOI: 10.52950/es.2024.13.1.003
Jan Neugebauer, Marek Vokoun
This paper delves into the multifaceted phenomenon of globalization and examines its contemporary manifestations. Globalization, characterized by increasing interconnectedness and interdependence among nations, has gained momentum through technological advancements, trade, and communication. In the context of historical dialectics, capitalism, and political economy, this study explores the evolving landscape of globalization and its implications for the modern world. The investigation aims to bridge the gap between past research and emerging trends, analyzing the complex relationship between economic interdependence and global dynamics. Through a systematic review of literature, including original research and review studies, the study uncovers a diverse array of topics, from geopolitical dynamics and ecological innovations to labor market disruptions and international trade evolution. While traditional themes such as inequality, technological advancements, and historical origins remain vital, contemporary discourse encompasses ecological sustainability, labor market transformations, and strategic geopolitical interactions. Notably, recent research highlights the role of economic diplomacy and strategies of dominant players, such as the EU, the US, and China, in shaping global markets. Furthermore, it emphasizes the intersection of technology, innovation, and globalization, particularly within industries and labor markets. Through an examination of the past, present, and future, this work aims to foster a comprehensive understanding of globalization's diverse dimensions, aiding policymakers, economists, and businesses in making informed choices.
本文深入探讨了全球化这一多层面现象,并研究了其在当代的表现形式。全球化的特点是各国之间的相互联系和相互依存不断加强,并通过技术进步、贸易和通信获得了发展势头。在历史辩证法、资本主义和政治经济学的背景下,本研究探讨了全球化不断演变的格局及其对现代世界的影响。调查旨在弥合过去研究与新兴趋势之间的差距,分析经济相互依存与全球动态之间的复杂关系。通过对文献(包括原创性研究和评论性研究)的系统回顾,本研究揭示了从地缘政治动态和生态创新到劳动力市场混乱和国际贸易演变等一系列不同的主题。虽然不平等、技术进步和历史起源等传统主题仍然至关重要,但当代的讨论涵盖了生态可持续性、劳动力市场转型和战略性地缘政治互动。值得注意的是,最近的研究强调了经济外交和欧盟、美国和中国等主导者的战略在塑造全球市场中的作用。此外,它还强调了技术、创新和全球化的交叉,尤其是在行业和劳动力市场中。通过对过去、现在和未来的研究,本书旨在促进对全球化不同层面的全面理解,帮助政策制定者、经济学家和企业做出明智的选择。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental Effects of Green Bonds and Other Forms of Financing in the European Union 欧盟绿色债券和其他融资形式对环境的影响
IF 2.4 Pub Date : 2024-05-16 DOI: 10.52950/es.2024.13.1.005
Stefan Petrov, Svetlana Aleksansrova, Silvia Kirova
Prioritising the implementation of environmental policies is a cornerstone for European Union member states. While sharing common objectives, individual countries apply their own approaches to implementing and financing the sustainable development and green transition, considering the national economic characteristics.This raises the crucial question of the extent to which various funding sources contribute to the success of environmental policies. In the past decade, many instruments for financing sustainable development have emerged, with green bonds prominently positioned as a pivotal tool for directing financial flows towards the achievement of green objectives.This paper studies the relationship between the different instruments for financing, such as the availability of issued green bonds, the extent of total debt, economic development, fiscal instruments, and on the other hand the specific indicators used to evaluate the effects of implementing the environmental policies. The study focuses on the environmental policies of European Union member states and associated member states from 2015 to 2022, with the intent to examine the effect of policies on indicators like energy consumption, greenhouse gas emissions, and economic losses from extreme weather events. Through correlation analysis, the study aims to specify the direction and significance of the influence of each independent variable on the dependent indicators. The findings reveal that green bond financing serves as a catalyst for positive changes in reducing energy consumption and carbon emissions, while general government debt emerges as a significant factor in financing environmental policies.
优先实施环境政策是欧盟成员国的基石。虽然各国有着共同的目标,但在实施可持续发展和绿色转型并为其提供资金时,会考虑到本国的经济特点。这就提出了一个关键问题,即各种资金来源在多大程度上有助于环境政策取得成功。在过去十年中,出现了许多为可持续发展融资的工具,其中绿色债券作为引导资金流向实现绿色目标的关键工具占据了突出位置。本文一方面研究了不同融资工具之间的关系,如已发行绿色债券的可用性、债务总额的程度、经济发展、财政工具,另一方面研究了用于评估环境政策实施效果的具体指标。本研究重点关注欧盟成员国及联系成员国 2015 年至 2022 年的环境政策,旨在考察政策对能源消耗、温室气体排放、极端天气事件造成的经济损失等指标的影响。通过相关性分析,研究旨在明确各自变量对因变量指标的影响方向和显著性。研究结果表明,绿色债券融资是减少能源消耗和碳排放的积极变化的催化剂,而一般政府债务则是环境政策融资的重要因素。
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引用次数: 0
Merger Spin-off Project and Its Effect on Financial Health Of Post-Transformation Companies 合并分拆项目及其对转型后公司财务健康的影响
IF 2.4 Pub Date : 2024-05-16 DOI: 10.52950/es.2024.13.1.001
Olga Heralová
The purpose of this article is to examine the impact of business transformation on the financial health of companies undergoing transformation, using bankruptcy indices. Business transformation could be the way to support risk diversification, improve production efficiency, financial performance or implement changes in organizational structure due to changed internal or external conditions. The verification of the financial health of the companies involved should be carried out and documented in order to ensure that no one has been harmed in connection with the transaction, due to the criminal liability of the legal representatives. This is usually done in advance. The advantage of this article is to point out that the verification by means of bank indicators is also suitable to be carried out after the transaction, immediately after and with a time lag, and could be part of the internal control process. A specific type of transformation, the spin-off by merger project, is the focus of this paper. This paper examines the financial health of companies operating in the Czech Republic using Altman's Z-score and IN05 bankruptcy indices. The main contribution of the article is the verification of the applicability of bankruptcy indicators for assessing the impact of the spin-off by merger project on the financial health of companies after transformation for the needs of documenting the actions of statutory directors and other decision makers with the due diligence of a proper manager.
本文旨在利用破产指数研究企业转型对转型企业财务健康的影响。业务转型可能是支持风险分散、提高生产效率、改善财务业绩或因内部或外部条件变化而实施组织结构变革的途径。应对相关公司的财务健康状况进行核查并记录在案,以确保没有人因法定代表人的刑事责任而在交易中受到损害。这通常要提前进行。本条的优点在于指出,通过银行指标进行的核查也适合在交易后立即进行,并有一定的时滞,可以作为内部控制过程的一部分。本文的重点是一种特殊类型的转型,即通过合并进行分拆的项目。本文使用 Altman's Z-score 和 IN05 破产指数研究了在捷克共和国运营的公司的财务健康状况。文章的主要贡献在于验证了破产指数在评估合并分拆项目对转型后公司财务健康状况的影响方面的适用性,以便记录法定董事和其他决策者的行为,尽到一个合格管理者应尽的职责。
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引用次数: 0
"Action and reaction" - a new public sector effectiveness assessment methodology "行动与反应"--一种新的公共部门效能评估方法
IF 2.4 Pub Date : 2024-05-16 DOI: 10.52950/es.2024.13.1.006
Vilém Čáp, Marek Feurich, Martin Lukavec
The main contribution of the paper is the development of a new way of assessing the efficiency of public administration using statistical methods - multivariate regression (identification of exogenous factors) and residual analysis (identification of regression residuals). The methodology presented is intuitive, practical and, if appropriately set up, globally applicable for the evaluation of a wide range of processes taking place in the public sector on the principle of "action and reaction". Putting the methodology into practice can go some way to satisfying the "taxpayer hunger" for information about whether the money they pay in taxes is being used wisely. It makes it possible to assess efficiency in a particular institution or to compare similar processes in several institutions over a given period of time. The methodology has been developed on the basis of audit findings (prepared by the supreme audit institution for the public sector in a democratic state) and their implications. The developed methodology brings a new perspective to the traditional claim that public sector effectiveness is virtually impossible to measure and that factors for objective evaluation of public sector managers cannot be easily established.
本文的主要贡献是利用统计方法--多元回归(确定外生因素)和残差分析(确定回 归残差)--开发了一种评估公共行政效率的新方法。所介绍的方法直观、实用,如果设置得当,可在全球范围内适用于根据 "作用与反作用 "原则对公共部门的各种程序进行评估。将这一方法付诸实践,可以在一定程度上满足纳税人的 "信息饥渴",了解他们缴纳的税款是否得到了合理的使用。这种方法可以评估某个机构的效率,也可以比较特定时期内几个机构的类似程序。该方法是在审计结果(由民主国家公共部门最高审计机构编制)及其影响的基础上开发的。传统的观点认为,公共部门的效率几乎是无法衡量的,对公共部门管理人员进行客观评价的因素也不容易确定。
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引用次数: 0
Real Estate Insights on Mortgage Rates, Apartment Prices, and Rentals in Czech Republic 关于捷克共和国房贷利率、公寓价格和租金的房地产透视
IF 2.4 Pub Date : 2024-05-16 DOI: 10.52950/es.2024.13.1.002
Eduard Hromada
This study examines the complex dynamics of the Czech real estate market, focusing on the interaction between mortgage rates and residential property prices, the influence of dwelling size on market price trends, and the impact of regional economic disparities on property values. We find that lower mortgage rates paradoxically raise house prices through increased demand, calling into question the effectiveness of monetary policy in improving housing affordability. This counter-intuitive effect highlights the complex interplay between fiscal policy and market responses. In addition, the analysis reveals a significant shift towards smaller dwellings, increasingly favoured by single-person households, reflecting changing demographic trends. This shift has clear implications for price dynamics and market accessibility in both the sales and rental sectors, suggesting a nuanced response to consumer preferences across different market segments. In addition, the research highlights a strong correlation between regional economic vitality and property prices, underlining the profound influence of the broader economic landscape in shaping property values in different areas. By integrating these critical aspects, the study provides a comprehensive and nuanced understanding of the factors influencing the Czech property market, offering valuable insights for policy makers, property developers and investors seeking to navigate or influence this market effectively.
本研究探讨了捷克房地产市场的复杂动态,重点关注抵押贷款利率与住宅物业价格之间的相互作用、住宅面积对市场价格趋势的影响以及地区经济差异对物业价值的影响。我们发现,降低抵押贷款利率反而会通过增加需求来提高房价,这让人质疑货币政策在改善住房可负担性方面的有效性。这种反直觉效应凸显了财政政策与市场反应之间复杂的相互作用。此外,分析还揭示了向小型住宅的重大转变,单人家庭越来越青睐小型住宅,这反映了不断变化的人口趋势。这种转变对销售和租赁领域的价格动态和市场可得性都有明显影响,表明不同细分市场对消费者偏好的反应存在细微差别。此外,研究还强调了地区经济活力与房地产价格之间的密切联系,凸显了更广泛的经济格局对不同地区房地产价值形成的深远影响。通过整合这些重要方面,该研究对影响捷克房地产市场的因素有了全面而细致的了解,为决策者、房地产开发商和投资者有效地驾驭或影响这一市场提供了宝贵的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Evidence Against the Undertaxation of Digital Companies from the Weighted Effective Tax Rate Method Analysis 从加权实际税率法分析数字公司税收不足的证据
IF 2.4 Pub Date : 2024-05-16 DOI: 10.52950/es.2024.13.1.004
Pavel Peterka, Dominik Stroukal
This study scrutinizes the prevalent belief that traditional companies face a more substantial taxation burden compared to digital firms. Our research delves into the effective corporate tax rate (ECTR) for an extensive sample of 463 global companies, encompassing 217 digital and 246 traditional entities, over the period from 2010 to 2020. Utilizing a unique dataset, our analysis reveals that the effective tax rates for digital and traditional companies do not significantly diverge. Contrary to common perceptions, in certain years, digital companies shouldered a heavier tax burden. This finding suggests that to achieve parity in taxation between digital and traditional firms, digital entities would have warranted tax relief, particularly between 2012 and 2015 when their tax rates were demonstrably higher. Furthermore, our models highlight a gradual increase in the effective corporate tax rate for digital companies over time, reflecting their growth and stabilization in the market. Throughout the entire period under study, including each individual year from 2010 to 2020, the difference in the effective tax rate between digital and traditional companies did not exceed an average of three percentage points across the selected countries. This threshold of three percent is notably the same as the digital tax proposed by the European Commission as a provisional measure. Since the observed difference consistently fell below this margin, imposing an additional 3% tax on digital services would, in effect, impose a disproportionately higher tax burden on digital firms than on their traditional counterparts.
与数字公司相比,传统公司面临的税收负担更重,本研究对这一普遍看法进行了审视。我们的研究深入探讨了 2010 年至 2020 年期间 463 家全球公司的实际企业税率(ECTR),其中包括 217 家数字实体和 246 家传统实体。利用独特的数据集,我们的分析表明,数字公司和传统公司的实际税率并无明显差异。与通常的看法相反,在某些年份,数字公司的税负更重。这一发现表明,为了实现数字公司与传统公司之间的税收平等,数字实体本应获得税收减免,尤其是在 2012 年至 2015 年期间,当时数字实体的税率明显较高。此外,我们的模型显示,随着时间的推移,数字公司的实际企业税率逐渐上升,这反映了它们在市场中的增长和稳定。在整个研究期间,包括从 2010 年到 2020 年的每一年,数字公司与传统公司之间的实际税率差异在所选国家平均不超过三个百分点。这个 3% 的临界点与欧盟委员会提出的数字税作为临时措施的临界点明显相同。由于观察到的差异始终低于这个幅度,对数字服务征收 3% 的额外税率实际上会给数字公司带来比传统公司高得多的税收负担。
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引用次数: 0
An Error in the Theory of Seigniorage 铸币税理论中的一个错误
Pub Date : 2023-11-13 DOI: 10.52950/es.2023.12.2.005
Petr Mach
The article reveals an error in the theory of seigniorage or government revenue from printing money. Friedman, Cagan, Mankiw, and other economists have repeated the definition of seigniorage as the monetary base multiplied by the rate of inflation (or by the growth in the monetary base). This definition, however, contains a logical error in the formula of seigniorage, confusing the growth rate with the growth rate divided by the growth rate plus one. This often-repeated confusion is consequently common in modern economics textbooks. These many authors have omitted Keynes who – almost one hundred years ago – rightly understood seigniorage to be the monetary base multiplied by the rate of money growth divided by the rate of money growth plus one. This paper presents an unambiguous definition and formula of seigniorage and offers a graphical illustration of seigniorage as a function of monetary growth which corresponds to Keynes’s approach. It is shown that such a graph is an analogy to the Laffer curve in explicit taxation.
这篇文章揭示了铸币税或政府印钞收入理论中的一个错误。弗里德曼、凯根、曼昆和其他经济学家重复了铸币税的定义,即货币基础乘以通货膨胀率(或货币基础的增长率)。然而,这个定义在铸币税公式中包含一个逻辑错误,将增长率与增长率除以增长率加1混淆。因此,这种经常重复的混淆在现代经济学教科书中很常见。这些作者都忽略了凯恩斯,他在近100年前就正确地理解铸币税等于基础货币乘以货币增长率除以货币增长率加1。本文提出了铸币税的明确定义和公式,并提供了铸币税作为货币增长函数的图形说明,这与凯恩斯的方法相对应。结果表明,这种曲线图类似于显性税收中的拉弗曲线。
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引用次数: 0
Findings from the first wave of Covid-19 on the different impacts of lockdown on public health and economic growth 第一波新冠肺炎疫情对封锁对公共卫生和经济增长的不同影响的研究结果
Pub Date : 2023-11-13 DOI: 10.52950/es.2023.12.2.002
Bilal Kargı, Mario Coccia, Bekir Cihan Uçkaç
This paper examines the impact of different durations of national lockdown measures during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic on the public health and economic conditions of nations. Results indicate that a) countries with shorter lockdown periods, approximately 15 days, experience a higher variation of confirmed cases/population (%) compared to countries with longer lockdowns, lasting for over one month; b) countries with shorter lockdown periods experience lower average fatality rates compared to countries with longer lockdown periods, while the variation in fatality rates indicates that countries with longer periods of lockdown achieved a more substantial reduction in fatality rates. Nevertheless, the findings of the study indicate that while longer durations of national lockdowns, implemented as a government response to the COVID-19 pandemic, appear to produce somewhat uncertain outcomes in terms of public health, they exhibit a more substantial adverse effect on a country’s economic growth, resulting in a contraction in gross domestic product growth. Extracting key lessons from this study can prove invaluable in crafting effective public responses for future COVID-19 waves and epidemics that resemble the characteristics of COVID-19.
本文考察了在第一波新冠肺炎大流行期间,不同国家封锁措施的持续时间对各国公共卫生和经济状况的影响。结果表明,a)封锁期较短(约15天)的国家确诊病例/人口(%)的变化高于封锁期较长(超过一个月)的国家;B)与封城期较长的国家相比,封城期较短的国家的平均死亡率较低,而死亡率的差异表明,封城期较长的国家的死亡率下降幅度更大。然而,该研究的结果表明,虽然政府为应对COVID-19大流行而实施的更长时间的国家封锁在公共卫生方面似乎产生了一些不确定的结果,但它们对一个国家的经济增长表现出更大的不利影响,导致国内生产总值增长收缩。从这项研究中汲取关键经验教训,对于制定有效的公众应对措施,以应对未来的COVID-19浪潮和类似COVID-19特征的流行病,将是非常宝贵的。
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引用次数: 0
The Treynor Ratio as a Risk-adjusted Return of Croatian Listed Firms 克罗地亚上市公司风险调整收益的Treynor比率
Pub Date : 2023-11-13 DOI: 10.52950/es.2023.12.2.006
Tomislava Pavic Kramaric, Marko Miletic, Petar Pepur
Motivated by the importance of determinants of firm performance, especially in terms of risk-adjusted performance that considers underlying risks, this paper explores the effects of firm-specific determinants on risk-adjusted returns such as the Treynor ratio. Specifically, the authors explore whether firm size, capital expenditures, capital intensity, equity ratio, leverage, profitability, listing age, and liquidity affect the performance of Croatian non-financial listed companies that form the CROBEXplus equity index in the period 2014 – 2021. Utilizing dynamic panel analysis, several key deterministic factors of risk-adjusted performance are identified including firm size, capital intensity, equity ratio, leverage, profitability, and listing age. In other words, larger firms tend to experience greater risk adjusted returns than their smaller counterparts as well as firms with higher equity ratios, i.e. those not overly indebted. Results also show that capital intensity, which is viewed as a source of entry barrier, is positively related to risk adjusted-performance which is also true for profitability. Furthermore, companies that have a longer presence in the market in terms of being listed on the stock exchange document enhanced risk-adjusted returns. These findings have significant policy and practical implications.
考虑到企业绩效决定因素的重要性,尤其是考虑潜在风险的风险调整绩效,本文探讨了企业特定决定因素对风险调整收益的影响,如特雷纳比率。具体而言,作者探讨了2014年至2021年期间,公司规模、资本支出、资本强度、股权比率、杠杆率、盈利能力、上市年龄和流动性是否影响CROBEXplus股票指数组成的克罗地亚非金融上市公司的业绩。利用动态面板分析,确定了风险调整绩效的几个关键决定性因素,包括公司规模、资本强度、股权比率、杠杆率、盈利能力和上市时间。换句话说,规模较大的公司往往比规模较小的公司以及股本比率较高的公司(即没有过度负债的公司)获得更高的风险调整回报。结果还表明,资本密集度(被视为进入壁垒的来源)与风险调整后的绩效呈正相关,这对盈利能力也是如此。此外,在证券交易所上市的公司在市场上存在的时间越长,风险调整后的回报就越高。这些发现具有重要的政策和实际意义。
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引用次数: 0
Is the Eurozone an Optimum Currency Area? 欧元区是最优货币区吗?
Pub Date : 2023-11-13 DOI: 10.52950/es.2023.12.2.004
Marek Louzek
The objective of this paper is to find out the past, the present and the future of the euro. The first part presents the euro as an edifying currency experiment. The second part analyses the economic performance of the euro area. The third part points out the internal conflicts inside the eurozone. The fourth part explains why the eurozone is not an optimum currency area. The fifth part outlines the controversy around the purchase of bonds by the ECB. The sixth part poses the question whether it is still possible to save the euro. The eurozone is not an optimum currency area. In theory, it could become one, provided that high mobility of labour is achieved, wages are flexible downwards, asymmetrical shocks do not occur and there is a stable system of national finances, supplemented by an effective system of fiscal compensations. Since these conditions are not met, the euro has become a trap for the member states. The euro has not had the effect of converging economic development in the eurozone; quite the opposite, it has had a diverging effect.
本文的目的是找出欧元的过去,现在和未来。第一部分介绍了欧元作为一种具有启发性的货币实验。第二部分分析了欧元区的经济表现。第三部分指出了欧元区内部的矛盾。第四部分解释了欧元区为何不是最优货币区。第五部分概述了围绕欧洲央行购买债券的争议。第六部分提出了是否仍有可能拯救欧元的问题。欧元区并非最佳货币区。从理论上讲,只要实现劳动力的高度流动性,工资可向下灵活调整,不发生不对称冲击,并且有一个稳定的国家财政体系,辅以有效的财政补偿体系,它就有可能成为一个国家。由于这些条件没有得到满足,欧元就成了成员国的陷阱。欧元没有起到欧元区经济发展趋同的效果;恰恰相反,它产生了分化效应。
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引用次数: 0
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International Journal of Economic Sciences
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