The odds of South African agriculture using wildlife ranching to adapt to climate change

IF 0.4 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics-AFJARE Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI:10.53936/afjare.2023.18(1).4
J. Otieno, E. Muchapondwa, Herbert Ntuli
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Abstract

In this paper, we explore the role of wildlife in climate change adaptation, especially in areas used predominantly for livestock production in South Africa. Using a sample of 3 449 wildlife and livestock ranches, we estimate a multinomial choice model of various ranching options in these areas. The results indicate that mixed wildlife-livestock ranches are less vulnerable to climate change when compared to ranches with only wildlife or only livestock. However, given the ranching options, the revenues of ranches with only wildlife are higher compared to other ranches. The results further show that an increase in temperature will influence more livestock farmers, especially those farming with cattle, to change their land use from livestock to wildlife ranching. Using climate models, we establish that livestock farmers in the Eastern Cape province of South Africa will be affected most by climate change and will subsequently change their land use.
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南非农业利用野生动物牧场适应气候变化的可能性
在这篇论文中,我们探讨了野生动物在适应气候变化中的作用,特别是在南非主要用于畜牧生产的地区。使用3249个野生动物和畜牧牧场的样本,我们估计了这些地区各种牧场选择的多项式选择模型。结果表明,与只有野生动物或只有牲畜的牧场相比,混合野生动物-牲畜牧场不太容易受到气候变化的影响。然而,考虑到牧场的选择,只有野生动物的牧场的收入高于其他牧场。研究结果进一步表明,温度的升高将影响更多的畜牧业农民,尤其是那些养牛的农民,将他们的土地利用从畜牧业转变为野生动物牧场。利用气候模型,我们确定南非东开普省的畜牧业农民将受到气候变化的最大影响,并随后改变他们的土地使用。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.20
自引率
16.70%
发文量
8
期刊介绍: The African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics (AfJARE)/Journal Africain d’Economie Agricole et des Ressources (JAEAR) is a publication of the African Association of Agricultural Economists (AAAE). The journal publishes original research about how African agriculture interacts with local and global economic systems and policy regimes in its impacts upon people. The scope of the journal covers the roles of markets, technology, policy, institutions and the natural environment in shaping the lives of well being of Africans engaged in agricultural activities. The journal strives to nurture and enhance the capacity of African professionals to conduct and publish scientific research and provides a venue for communicating and disseminating their findings. Multi-disciplinary, problem-oriented articles are encouraged. Submissions may deal with teaching, research extension, consulting, advising, entrepreneurship and administration. The Chief Editors and Editorial Board, under the general direction of the AAAE President, Executive Committee and Council are charged with implementing Journal policy to serve members of AAAE. The main section of the journal publishes technical research articles while a small section is devoted to publishing brief notes with important policy content and book reviews. The journal is a quarterly publication.
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