The Nexus between Fiscal Deficits and Economic Growth in ASEAN

IF 0.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Journal of Southeast Asian Economies Pub Date : 2019-04-27 DOI:10.1355/AE36-1D
Wee‐Yeap Lau, Tien-Ming Yip
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引用次数: 10

Abstract

Abstract:This study provides new evidence on the nexus between fiscal deficits and economic growth among ASEAN countries in the pre- and post-Global Financial Crisis (GFC) periods. Using annual data from 2001 to 2015, three results stand out. First, fiscal deficits are found to be growth-deteriorating in the pre-Crisis period and growth-enhancing in the post-Crisis period. Second, the impact of fiscal deficits on growth in pre- and post-GFC are robust to different measures of economic growth. Third, among control variables, inflation is important in influencing economic growth in the pre-Crisis period while exchange rate and inflow of foreign direct investment have a positive impact on growth in the post-Crisis period.
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东盟财政赤字与经济增长的关系
摘要:本研究为全球金融危机前后东盟国家财政赤字与经济增长之间的关系提供了新的证据。利用2001年至2015年的年度数据,有三个结果引人注目。首先,财政赤字在危机前会恶化经济增长,在危机后会促进经济增长。其次,以不同的经济增长指标衡量,财政赤字对全球金融危机前后经济增长的影响都很强劲。第三,在控制变量中,通货膨胀对危机前经济增长有重要影响,汇率和外国直接投资流入对危机后经济增长有积极影响。
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来源期刊
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期刊介绍: The Journal of Southeast Asian Economies (JSEAE) is a peer-reviewed multi-disciplinary journal focusing on economic issues in Southeast Asia. JSEAE features articles based on original research, research notes, policy notes, review articles and book reviews, and welcomes submissions of conceptual, theoretical and empirical articles preferably with substantive policy discussions. Original research articles and research notes can be country studies or cross-country comparative studies. For quantitative-oriented articles, authors should strive to ensure that their work is accessible to non-specialists. Submitted manuscripts undergo a rigorous peer-review process – two reviewers for original research articles and one reviewer for research notes and policy notes. The journal is published three times a year: April, August and December.
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