Prediction of Power Characteristic Curve on Small Scale Compressed Air Energy Storage by Using Regression Analysis

IF 0.5 Q4 ENERGY & FUELS International Energy Journal Pub Date : 2018-06-13 DOI:10.20944/PREPRINTS201806.0212.V1
W. Widjonarko, R. Soenoko, S. Wahyudi, E. Siswanto
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Abstract

The research on small scale compressed air energy storage (SS-CAES) becomes an interesting topic especially in optimizing the performance of the system. In this topic, the characteristic curve of the energy storage system is the key to control the system to reach optimum power to the load. In previous research, mathematical equations were used to get the characteristic curve. This paper proposes the polynomial regression based on the actual output data from the prototype to model the characteristic curve of the SS-CAES prototype. The authors have compared the use of mathematical models and polynomial regression in modeling the power curve with actual observational data and determining the level of accuracy of modeling. The results showed that by using polynomial regression, the characteristics of the SS-CAES prototype power curve could only be obtained by using the sample data from the system output with accuracy value 0.967 for R-square. Thus, an approach using this method would facilitate researchers to obtain the characteristics of the curve of the system .
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基于回归分析的小型压缩空气储能系统功率特性曲线预测
小型压缩空气储能(SS-CAES)的研究成为一个有趣的话题,特别是在优化系统性能方面。在本课题中,储能系统的特性曲线是控制系统向负荷提供最优功率的关键。在以往的研究中,利用数学方程来得到特征曲线。本文提出了基于原型实际输出数据的多项式回归,对SS-CAES原型的特征曲线进行建模。作者比较了数学模型和多项式回归在功率曲线与实际观测数据建模中的应用,并确定了建模的精度水平。结果表明,通过多项式回归,SS-CAES原型功率曲线的特征只能通过系统输出的样本数据得到,r平方精度值为0.967。因此,使用这种方法的方法将有利于研究人员获得系统曲线的特性。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.80
自引率
0.00%
发文量
37
期刊介绍: The journal provides a forum exchange of information, innovative and critical ideas on a wide range of issues in energy. The issues are addressed in four major areas as follows: Energy economics and policy including energy demand and supply study, resources document, transportation and conversion pricing, modeling, security and organizational structure, Energy technology including energy exploration, conversion, transportation technologies, utilization technologies such as rational use of energy in industry, energy efficient building system, system simulation, and cogeneration, Energy regulation, promotion, and environmental concerns including analysis of energy systems structure, restructuring, regulation and promotion for energy conservation, clean development mechanism, and energy enhancement of social development, Electric power system including electricity demand forecasting and planning, electric supply structure and economics, power system dynamics and stability, power system operation and control, and power distribution.
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