Pengaruh Iklim terhadap Produksi Kakao di Kabupaten Gunungkidul

Fani Ardiani, Herry Wirianata, Githa Noviana
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Abstract

Cocoa is one of the commodities as a foreign exchange earner in addition to oil and gas. However, Indonesian cocoa imports have increased from year to year due to low cocoa productivity. Whereas in terms of region, Indonesia has the potential to become a new cocoa power country in the world of cocoa production. This study examines the effect of rainfall, the number of rainy days, and air temperature on cocoa production in the Gunungkidul district. This study uses a quantitative descriptive method. The data used in this study is secondary data in the form of time series data on rainfall, rainy days, air temperature, and cocoa production in 2016-2020 in Gunungkidul Regency. The regression analysis results showed that all observed climatic factors such as rainfall, rainy days, and temperature did not have a significant effect on cocoa production in Gunungkidul Regency. However, the time-series data shows that the highest cocoa production was in October 2017 and November 2018 to January 2019, when rainfall and intensity (rainy days) began to increase. Meanwhile, the air temperature in Gunungkidul Regency for five years is around 24-26°C, which is the optimum temperature for cocoa growth. This study concludes that rainfall, rain intensity (rainy days), and temperature affect fluctuations in cocoa production.
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可可是除石油和天然气之外的另一种赚取外汇的商品。然而,由于可可产量低,印尼的可可进口量逐年增加。而就地区而言,印尼有潜力成为可可生产的新大国。本研究考察了降雨、阴雨天数和气温对Gunungkidul地区可可产量的影响。本研究采用定量描述方法。本研究使用的数据为二手数据,为Gunungkidul reggency 2016-2020年降雨量、阴雨天、气温和可可产量的时间序列数据。回归分析结果表明,所有观测到的气候因子如降雨量、阴雨天和温度对Gunungkidul县的可可产量没有显著影响。然而,时间序列数据显示,可可产量最高的时间是2017年10月和2018年11月至2019年1月,当时降雨量和强度(雨天)开始增加。另外,在5年的时间里,Gunungkidul郡的气温在24-26℃左右,这是可可生长的最佳温度。这项研究的结论是,降雨、降雨强度(雨天)和温度影响可可产量的波动。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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审稿时长
24 weeks
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