{"title":"Formal models of opinion formation and their application to real data: evidence from online social networks","authors":"I. Kozitsin","doi":"10.1080/0022250X.2020.1835894","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT In this paper, we analyze data on the opinion dynamics of 1,660,927 users of an online social network using formal models of opinion formation. We have observed that moderate users have a tendency to follow the average opinion of their online friends, which we interpret as a presence of bounded confidence. Further, we have discovered that the probability of moving toward the average opinion goes down if the difference between it and the user’s opinion is too large. Another interesting feature uncovered is that if a user’s opinion and the average opinion of their online friends are very similar, the influence also decreases.","PeriodicalId":50139,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Mathematical Sociology","volume":"46 1","pages":"120 - 147"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3000,"publicationDate":"2020-10-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/0022250X.2020.1835894","citationCount":"27","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Mathematical Sociology","FirstCategoryId":"90","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/0022250X.2020.1835894","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 27
Abstract
ABSTRACT In this paper, we analyze data on the opinion dynamics of 1,660,927 users of an online social network using formal models of opinion formation. We have observed that moderate users have a tendency to follow the average opinion of their online friends, which we interpret as a presence of bounded confidence. Further, we have discovered that the probability of moving toward the average opinion goes down if the difference between it and the user’s opinion is too large. Another interesting feature uncovered is that if a user’s opinion and the average opinion of their online friends are very similar, the influence also decreases.
期刊介绍:
The goal of the Journal of Mathematical Sociology is to publish models and mathematical techniques that would likely be useful to professional sociologists. The Journal also welcomes papers of mutual interest to social scientists and other social and behavioral scientists, as well as papers by non-social scientists that may encourage fruitful connections between sociology and other disciplines. Reviews of new or developing areas of mathematics and mathematical modeling that may have significant applications in sociology will also be considered.
The Journal of Mathematical Sociology is published in association with the International Network for Social Network Analysis, the Japanese Association for Mathematical Sociology, the Mathematical Sociology Section of the American Sociological Association, and the Methodology Section of the American Sociological Association.