Modeling the links between institutional and actual globalization in the countries of the world

E. Kopnova, L. Rodionova
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Abstract

The paper is devoted to modeling the links between the institutional and actual level of globalization in the countries of the world. Vector models of error correction, quantile regression, and a stochastic frontier model are considered. As a measure of globalization and its components, the KOF-index of globalization system is used, which allows us to analyze individual globalization processes in the economy, social sphere and politics. According to 2020 data, we determine the dynamic relations between the actual and institutional components of globalization, and the priority of the institutional component for informational and financial globalization is revealed. The example of financial globalization shows the uneven degree of influence of the institutional component on the actual globalization, in particular, its prevailing importance for less globalized countries, indicating the alignment of the degree of internationalization in the global financial system. The degree of effectiveness of the impact of institutional measures, together with the overall level of well-being on the actual financial globalization is analyzed. It is shown that the spread across the countries of the world in the efficiency indicator is almost 70%. Almost 10% of countries have a low efficiency of up to 50%. One third of the countries has average efficiency (50–75%). The share of countries with high efficiency over 75% is about 60%.
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对世界各国体制全球化与实际全球化之间的联系进行建模
本文致力于模拟世界各国全球化的制度层面和实际层面之间的联系。考虑了误差校正的向量模型、分位数回归和随机前沿模型。作为全球化及其组成部分的衡量标准,使用了全球化系统的KOF指数,它使我们能够分析经济、社会和政治中的个体全球化过程。根据2020年的数据,我们确定了全球化的实际组成部分和制度组成部分之间的动态关系,并揭示了制度组成部分在信息和金融全球化中的优先地位。金融全球化的例子表明,体制构成部分对实际全球化的影响程度不均衡,特别是其对全球化程度较低的国家的普遍重要性,表明全球金融体系的国际化程度是一致的。分析了制度措施影响的有效程度,以及整体福祉水平对实际金融全球化的影响。研究表明,效率指标在世界各国的分布几乎为70%。近10%的国家的低效率高达50%。三分之一的国家具有平均效率(50-75%)。高效率超过75%的国家所占比例约为60%。
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