Analysis of nonlinear evolution mechanism of power technology progress under the constraints of net-zero carbon dioxide emissions in China

IF 3.5 3区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management Pub Date : 2022-07-27 DOI:10.1108/ijccsm-03-2022-0030
Huai-bing Zheng
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Abstract

Purpose Striving to achieve the goal of carbon neutrality before 2060 indicates that China, as the most extensive power system in the world and a country based on coal power, is imperative to improve the technical level of electric power utilization. This paper aims to explore the nonlinear evolution mechanism of power technology progress under the constraints of net-zero carbon dioxide emissions in China. Design/methodology/approach This paper, first, based on China’s provincial panel data from 2000 to 2019, uses global direction distance function to measure power technological progress. Second, the threshold regression model is used to explore the nonlinear relationship between carbon emission reduction constraints on electric power technological progress. Findings There is a significant inverted U-shaped relationship between China’s provincial carbon emission reduction constraints and electric power technological progress. Meanwhile, the scale of regional economic development has a significant moderating effect on the relationship between carbon emission reduction constraints and power technological progress. Research limitations/implications This paper puts forward targeted suggestions for perfecting regional carbon emission reduction policy and improving electric power technological progress. Originality/value Based on the global directional distance function, this paper extracts power as a production factor in total factor productivity and calculates the total factor electric power technological progress. This paper objectively reveals the influence mechanism of carbon emission reduction constraints on electric power technology progress based on the threshold regression model.
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二氧化碳净零排放约束下中国电力技术进步的非线性演化机制分析
力争在2060年前实现碳中和目标,表明中国作为世界上最广泛的电力系统和以煤电为基础的国家,提高电力利用技术水平势在必行。本文旨在探讨在二氧化碳净零排放约束下中国电力技术进步的非线性演化机制。设计/方法/方法本文首先基于2000年至2019年中国省级面板数据,使用全球方向距离函数来衡量电力技术进步。其次,利用阈值回归模型探讨了碳减排约束对电力技术进步的非线性关系。发现中国省级碳减排约束与电力技术进步之间存在显著的倒U型关系。同时,区域经济发展规模对碳减排约束与电力技术进步之间的关系具有显著的调节作用。研究局限性/启示本文对完善区域碳减排政策、促进电力技术进步提出了有针对性的建议。独创性/价值基于全局方向距离函数,提取全要素生产率中的功率作为生产要素,计算全要素电力技术进步。基于阈值回归模型,客观揭示了碳减排约束对电力技术进步的影响机制。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.10
自引率
8.30%
发文量
43
审稿时长
15 weeks
期刊介绍: Effective from volume 10 (2018), International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management is an open access journal. In the history of science there have been only a few issues which have mobilized the attention of scientists and policy-makers alike as the issue of climate change currently does. International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management is an international forum that addresses the need for disseminating scholarly research, projects and other initiatives aimed to facilitate a better understanding of the subject matter of climate change. The journal publishes papers dealing with policy-making on climate change, and methodological approaches to cope with the problems deriving from climate change. It disseminates experiences from projects and case studies where due consideration to environmental, economic, social and political aspects is given and especially the links and leverages that can be attained by this holistic approach. It regards climate change under the perspective of its wider implications: for economic growth, water and food security, and for people''s survival – especially those living in the poorest communities in developing countries.
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