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Climate-smart agricultural practices and its implication in Ethiopia: a systematic review 气候智能型农业做法及其对埃塞俄比亚的影响:系统性审查
IF 3.6 3区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1108/ijccsm-01-2024-0012
Getasew Daru Tariku, Sinkie Alemu Kebede

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to assess the adoption of climate-smart agriculture (CSA) and its implication on improving the farming household food security status, their resilience and livelihood risk management of farmers.

Design/methodology/approach

This systematic review has followed procedures to accomplish the review, including literature searches, screening studies, data extraction, synthesis and presentation of the data.

Findings

Based on the result of the review, the determinants of CSA adoption can be categorized into five categories, including demographic factors (age, sex, family size, dependency ratio, education), economic factors (land size, household income, livestock ownership), institutional factors (extension services, training access, credit services, farm input, market distance), environmental factors (agroecology, change in precipitation, slope of land) and social factors (cooperatives membership, farmers perception). The result also shows that applying CSA practices has an indispensable role on increasing productivity, food security, income, building resilient livelihoods, minimizing production risk and alleviating poverty. This concluded CSA practice has a multidimensional role in the livelihood of agrarian population like Ethiopia, yet its adoption was constrained by several factors.

Originality/value

This review mainly emphasizes on the most commonly practiced CSA strategies that are examined by different scholars.

本文旨在评估气候智能型农业(CSA)的采用情况及其对改善农户粮食安全状况、农户的抗灾能力和生计风险管理的影响。研究结果根据综述结果,采用 CSA 的决定因素可分为五类,包括人口因素(年龄、性别、家庭规模、抚养比、教育程度)、经济因素(土地面积、家庭收入、牲畜拥有量)、制度因素(推广服务、培训机会、信贷服务、农业投入、市场距离)、环境因素(农业生态学、降水量变化、土地坡度)和社会因素(合作社成员资格、农民认知)。研究结果还表明,采用 CSA 实践对提高生产率、粮食安全、增加收入、建立有弹性的生计、最大限度地降低生产风险和减轻贫困具有不可或缺的作用。由此得出结论,CSA 实践在埃塞俄比亚等农业人口的生计中发挥着多方面的作用,但其采用却受到多种因素的制约。 原创性/价值 本综述主要强调不同学者研究的最常用的 CSA 战略。
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引用次数: 0
Does distribution and type of aid affect internal migration following a cyclone? Evidence from Bangladesh 援助的分配和类型会影响飓风后的国内移徙吗?孟加拉国的证据
IF 3.6 3区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-02 DOI: 10.1108/ijccsm-09-2023-0113
Shahed Mustafa, Darryl John Newport, Clare Rigg, Md Shahidul Islam

Purpose

The purpose of this study is to explore the impacts of aid in the form of food, cash, and agricultural inputs on internal migration following a series of cyclones in the southern coastal areas of Bangladesh. The impacts of sources of aid, such as institutional or social network sources, were also analysed. With the increasing frequency of extreme climatic events, it becomes crucial to understand the impacts of different post-cyclonic aid on human mobility.

Design/methodology/approach

A total of 472 households across 16 blocks (moujas) in the Patharghata sub-district of Barguna district were selected for participation using a stratified sampling strategy. Data were captured via a survey which included individual and household-level demographics, migration and aid-receipt following cyclones. Data were analysed using a mixture of descriptive and inferential statistical methods.

Findings

The analysis revealed that migration was significantly higher among households which did not receive institutional food aid. More specifically, non-receipt of food aid and cash aid after a cyclone, different sources of income, non-availability of alternative sources of income, lack of land ownership and severity of cyclones up to a certain level increased migration among the households where a minority of household members migrated. In contrast, the absence of food aid and the severity of cyclones were found to be significant factors in increasing migration among the households where a majority of household members migrated. The authors argue that the decision to migrate from the households where most members migrated increased with the rise in cyclone severity.

Originality/value

The contribution of this research in the field of aid and migration is unique. To the best of the authors’ knowledge, no research was conducted before on the impacts of distribution and type of aid on internal migration following a cyclone.

本研究旨在探讨在孟加拉国南部沿海地区发生一系列飓风后,粮食、现金和农业投入等形式的援助对国内移民的影响。同时还分析了援助来源(如机构或社会网络来源)的影响。采用分层抽样策略,在巴古纳县 Patharghata 分区的 16 个街区(moujas)共抽取了 472 户家庭参与调查。通过调查获取的数据包括个人和家庭层面的人口统计数据、移民情况以及飓风过后接受援助的情况。分析结果表明,未接受机构粮食援助的家庭的移徙率明显较高。更具体地说,飓风过后未获得粮食援助和现金援助、收入来源不同、无法获得替代收入来源、缺乏土地所有权以及飓风严重程度达到一定程度,都会增加少数家庭成员迁移的家庭的迁移人数。相比之下,没有粮食援助和龙卷风的严重程度则是增加大多数家庭成员迁移的家庭迁移的重要因素。作者认为,随着飓风严重程度的增加,大多数成员移徙的家庭的移徙决定也随之增加。据作者所知,以前从未有过关于飓风过后援助的分配和类型对国内移民的影响的研究。
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引用次数: 0
Smallholder farmers’ vulnerability to climate change in northwest Ethiopia 埃塞俄比亚西北部小农面对气候变化的脆弱性
IF 3.5 3区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI: 10.1108/ijccsm-03-2023-0041
Aimro Likinaw, Arragaw Alemayehu, W. Bewket
PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to investigate the vulnerability of smallholder farmers to climate change in northwest Ethiopia.Design/methodology/approachTo achieve this aim, data was collected from a survey of 352 households, which were stratified into three groups: Lay Gayint (138 or 39%), Tach Gayint (117 or 33%) and Simada district (97 or 28%). To gain a deeper understanding of the vulnerability of these households, two approaches were used: the livelihood vulnerability index (LVI), consisting of 32 indicators, and the socioeconomic vulnerability index (SeVI), containing 31 indicators. Furthermore, qualitative data was obtained through focus group discussions conducted in six randomly chosen groups from the three districts, which were used to supplement the findings.FindingsBoth methods indicate that Simada is the most vulnerable district, followed by Tach Gayint and Lay Gayint. According to the SeVI approach, Simada district showed the highest level of sensitivity and exposure to climate-related hazards, as well as the lowest score for adaptive capacity. However, using the LVI approach, Simada district was found to have the highest sensitivity to climate effects and exposure to climate-related hazards, along with a higher adaptive capacity than both Lay Gayint and Tach Gayint districts.Originality/valueAlthough there are numerous studies available on the vulnerability of farmers to climate change, this particular study stands out by using and contrasting two approaches – the LVI and the SeVI – to assess the vulnerability of households in the study area. Previous research has indicated that no single approach is sufficient to evaluate climate change vulnerability, as each approach has its own strengths and limitations. The findings of this study have significant implications for policymakers and development practitioners, as they can use the results to identify the households that are most vulnerable to climate change. This will enable them to design adaptation options that are tailored to the specific needs of each community and that will effectively address the risks of current and future climate change.
本文旨在调查埃塞俄比亚西北部小农面对气候变化时的脆弱性。为了实现这一目标,我们对 352 户家庭进行了调查,并将这些家庭分为三组:Lay Gayint(138 户,占 39%)、Tach Gayint(117 户,占 33%)和 Simada 地区(97 户,占 28%)。为了深入了解这些家庭的脆弱性,采用了两种方法:生计脆弱性指数(LVI)和社会经济脆弱性指数(SeVI),前者包括 32 个指标,后者包括 31 个指标。此外,还通过在三个地区随机抽取的六个小组中开展焦点小组讨论获得了定性数据,用于补充调查结果。根据 "SeVI "方法,Simada 区对气候相关灾害的敏感性和暴露程度最高,适应能力得分最低。原创性/价值虽然关于农民对气候变化的脆弱性的研究很多,但本研究通过使用和对比两种方法--低脆弱性指数和高脆弱性指数--来评估研究地区家庭的脆弱性,从而脱颖而出。以往的研究表明,没有一种方法足以评估气候变化脆弱性,因为每种方法都有其自身的优势和局限性。这项研究的结果对政策制定者和发展实践者具有重要意义,因为他们可以利用研究结果来确定哪些家庭最容易受到气候变化的影响。这将使他们能够设计出适合每个社区具体需求的适应方案,从而有效应对当前和未来的气候变化风险。
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引用次数: 0
Determining factors and barriers to the uptake of climate change adaptation strategies of agriculture and aquaculture farm households in Myanmar 确定缅甸农业和水产养殖农户采用气候变化适应战略的因素和障碍
IF 3.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-07 DOI: 10.1108/ijccsm-12-2023-0154
Aung Tun Oo, Ame Cho, Saw Yan Naing, Giovanni Marin

Purpose

Climate change is an undeniable reality that threatens people’s livelihoods. Flooding and saltwater intrusion, along with the rising sea levels, are affecting agricultural and aquaculture livelihoods in Myanmar’s coastal areas. Although climate change adaptation is gaining popularity as a resilience strategy to cope with the negative effects of climate change, both agriculture- and aquaculture-farmers are more often deterred from implementing climate change adaptation strategies due to practical availability and socioeconomic barriers to adaptation. This study aims to evaluate the barriers and factors that influence farm household’ choice of climate change adaptation measures.

Design/methodology/approach

This study was conducted with 599 farm households (484 rice-farmers and 115 fish farmers) based in the coastal areas of Myanmar during 2021–2022 to explore the farmer’s choice of climate change adaptation measures and the determining factors. The multinomial logit regression (MLR) model was used to examine the factors influencing the farmers’ choice of climate change adaptation strategies.

Findings

The study found out that farm households use a variety of adaptation methods at the farm level, with building embankment strategy (23.4%) in agriculture and net-fencing measure (33.9%) in fish farming being the most popular adaptation strategies. Farmers’ decisions to adopt climate change adaptation strategies are influenced by factors such as distance to market, education level of the household head, remittance income and the availability of early warning information, among others. The study also discovered that COVID-19 has had an impact on the employment opportunities of household members and the income from farming as well had a consequential effect on the adoption of climate change adaptation measures. Furthermore, lack of credit (42.4%), labor shortage (52.8%), pest and disease infestation (58.9%), high input costs (81%) and lower agricultural product prices (73%) were identified as major barriers to the adoption of climate change adaptation measures by both agriculture and aquaculture farm households.

Originality/value

This study demonstrates that the COVID-19 pandemic and farm-level barriers are the major factors influencing farm households’ choice of climate change adaptation measures, and that removing practical farm-level barriers and encouraging the adoption of adaptation techniques as potential COVID-19 recovery actions are required. This study also highlighted that the adaptive capacity of agriculture and aquaculture farm households should be strengthened through formal and informal training programs, awareness raising, the exchange of early warning information and the development of proper credit scheme programs.

目的气候变化是威胁人们生计的一个不可否认的现实。洪水和海水入侵以及海平面上升正在影响缅甸沿海地区农业和水产养殖业的生计。尽管适应气候变化作为应对气候变化负面影响的一种复原战略正日益受到欢迎,但农业和水产养殖业者往往因实际可用性和适应气候变化的社会经济障碍而不敢实施适应气候变化战略。本研究旨在评估影响农户选择气候变化适应措施的障碍和因素。本研究在 2021-2022 年期间对缅甸沿海地区的 599 个农户(484 个稻农和 115 个养鱼户)进行了调查,以探讨农户对气候变化适应措施的选择及其决定因素。研究发现,农户在农场层面采用了多种适应方法,其中农业中的筑堤策略(23.4%)和渔业中的网围措施(33.9%)是最受欢迎的适应策略。影响农民决定采用气候变化适应战略的因素包括距离市场的远近、户主的教育水平、汇款收入和是否有预警信息等。研究还发现,COVID-19 对家庭成员的就业机会产生了影响,农业收入也对采取气候变化适应措施产生了相应的影响。此外,缺乏信贷(42.4%)、劳动力短缺(52.8%)、病虫害(58.9%)、投入成本高(81%)和农产品价格下降(73%)被认为是农业和水产养殖农户采用气候变化适应措施的主要障碍。原创性/价值本研究表明,COVID-19 大流行和农场层面的障碍是影响农户选择气候变化适应措施的主要因素,因此需要消除农场层面的实际障碍,并鼓励采用适应技术作为潜在的 COVID-19 恢复行动。本研究还强调,应通过正规和非正规培训计划、提高认识、交流预警信息和制定适当的信贷计划方案来加强农业和水产养殖农户的适应能力。
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引用次数: 0
Spatiotemporal climate variability and extremes in Middle Awash Afar region Ethiopia: implications to pastoralists and agro-pastoralists food security 埃塞俄比亚中阿瓦士阿法尔地区的时空气候多变性和极端气候:对牧民和农牧民粮食安全的影响
IF 3.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-21 DOI: 10.1108/ijccsm-11-2023-0140
Ameha Tadesse Aytenfisu, D. Tolossa, S. T. Feleke, D. Ayal
PurposeThis study aims to examine the phenomenon of climate variability and its implications for pastoralists and agro-pastoralists food security in Amibara and Awash Fentale districts of the Afar region, Ethiopia.Design/methodology/approachThe study relied on meteorological records of temperature and rainfall in the study area between 1988 and 2018. Besides, literature on the topic was reviewed to make caveats on the literal picture that comes from quantitative data, and that is the contribution of this study to the existing debate on climate change and variability. The spatiotemporal trend was determined using the Mann–Kendall test and Sen’s slope estimator, while variability was analyzed using the coefficient of variation and standardized anomaly index, and standardized precipitation index/standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index were applied to determine the drought frequency and severity.FindingsThe result reveals that the mean seasonal rainfall varies from 111.34 mm to 518.74 mm. Although the maximum and minimum rainfall occurred in the summer and winter seasons, respectively, there has been a decrease in seasonal and annual at the rate of 2.51 mm per season and 4.12 mm per year, respectively. The study sites have been experiencing highly seasonal rainfall variability. The drought analysis result confirms that a total of nine agricultural droughts ranging from moderate to extreme years were observed. Overall, the seasonal and annual rainfall of the Amibara and Awash Fentale districts showed a decreasing trend with highly temporal variations of rainfall and ever-rising temperatures, and frequent drought events means the climate situation of the area could adversely affect pastoral and agro-pastoral households’ food security. However, analysis of data from secondary sources reveals that analyzing precipitation just based on the meteorological records of the study area would be misleading. That explains why flooding, rather than drought, is becoming the main source of catastrophe to pastoral and agro-pastoral livelihoods.Practical implicationsThe analysis of temperature and rainfall dynamics in the Afar region, hence the inception of all development interventions, must take the hydrological impact of the neighboring regions which appears to be useful direction to future researchers.Originality/valueThe research is originally conducted using meteorological and existing literature, and hence, it is original. In this research, we utilized a standardized and appropriate methodology, resulting in insights that augment the existing body of knowledge within the field. These insights serve to advance scholarly discourse on the subject matter.
本研究旨在探讨气候变异现象及其对埃塞俄比亚阿法尔地区阿米巴拉和阿瓦什-芬塔勒地区牧民和农牧民粮食安全的影响。此外,还查阅了相关文献,对定量数据的字面意思进行了说明,这也是本研究对现有气候变化和变异性辩论的贡献。利用 Mann-Kendall 检验和 Sen's 坡度估计器确定时空趋势,利用变异系数和标准化异常指数分析变异性,并利用标准化降水指数/标准化降水蒸散指数确定干旱频率和严重程度。虽然最大降雨量和最小降雨量分别出现在夏季和冬季,但季节性降雨量和年降雨量分别以每季 2.51 毫米和每年 4.12 毫米的速度减少。研究地点的降雨季节变化很大。干旱分析结果证实,共观测到九次农业干旱,从中等年份到极端年份不等。总体而言,阿米巴拉和阿瓦什-芬塔勒地区的季节性降雨量和年降雨量呈下降趋势,降雨量的时间变化很大,气温不断升高,频繁的干旱事件意味着该地区的气候状况可能会对牧民和农牧民家庭的粮食安全产生不利影响。然而,对二手资料的分析表明,仅根据研究地区的气象记录来分析降水量会产生误导。这就解释了为什么洪水而非干旱正成为牧民和农牧民生计的主要灾难来源。实用意义对阿法尔地区气温和降雨动态的分析,以及所有发展干预措施的启动,都必须考虑到邻近地区的水文影响,这似乎是未来研究人员的有益方向。在这项研究中,我们采用了标准化和适当的方法,从而获得了丰富该领域现有知识的见解。这些见解有助于推动有关该主题的学术讨论。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of participation in collective action on farmers’ decisions and waiting time to adopt soil and water conservation measures 参与集体行动对农民采取水土保持措施的决定和等待时间的影响
IF 3.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-14 DOI: 10.1108/ijccsm-02-2023-0027
Rui Jia, Zhimin Shuai, Tong Guo, Qian Lu, Xuesong He, Chunlin Hua

Purpose

This study aims to analyze the influence of farmers’ degree of participation in collective action on their adoption decisions and waiting time regarding soil and water conservation (SWC) measures.

Design/methodology/approach

The Probit model and Generalized Propensity Score Match method are used to assess the effect of the degree of participation in collective action on farmers’ adoption decisions and waiting time for implementing SWC measures.

Findings

The findings reveal that farmers’ engagement in collective action positively influences the decision-making process regarding terrace construction, water-saving irrigation and afforestation measures. However, it does not significantly impact the decision-making process for plastic film and ridge-furrow tillage practices. Notably, collective action has the strongest influence on farmers’ adoption decisions regarding water-saving irrigation technology, with a relatively smaller influence on the adoption of afforestation and terrace measures. Moreover, the results suggest that participating in collective action effectively reduces the waiting time for terrace construction and expedites the adoption of afforestation and water-saving irrigation technology. Specifically, collective action has a significantly negative effect on the waiting time for terrace construction, followed by water-saving irrigation technology and afforestation measures.

Practical implications

The results of this study underscore the significance of fostering mutual assistance and cooperation mechanisms among farmers, as they can pave the way for raising funds and labor, cultivating elite farmers, attracting skilled labor to rural areas, enhancing the adoption rate and expediting the implementation of terraces, water-saving irrigation technology and afforestation measures.

Originality/value

Drawing on an evaluation of farmers’ degree of participation in collective action, this paper investigates the effect of participation on their SWC adoption decisions and waiting times, thereby offering theoretical and practical insights into soil erosion control in the Loess Plateau.

目的 本研究旨在分析农民参与集体行动的程度对其采取水土保持(SWC)措施的决策和等待时间的影响。研究采用 Probit 模型和广义倾向得分匹配法评估农民参与集体行动的程度对其采取水土保持措施的决策和等待时间的影响。然而,集体行动对塑料薄膜和脊犁耕作法的决策过程影响不大。值得注意的是,集体行动对农民采用节水灌溉技术的决策影响最大,对采用植树造林和梯田措施的影响相对较小。此外,研究结果表明,参与集体行动能有效减少修建梯田的等待时间,加快植树造林和节水灌溉技术的采用。实践意义本研究的结果强调了促进农民互助合作机制的意义,因为这可以为筹集资金和劳动力、培养农民精英、吸引熟练劳动力到农村地区、提高梯田、节水灌溉技术和造林措施的采用率以及加快其实施铺平道路。原创性/价值本文通过对农民参与集体行动程度的评估,研究了参与对农民采用水土保持措施决策和等待时间的影响,从而为黄土高原水土流失治理提供了理论和实践启示。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring smallholder farmers’ perceptions of climate change and its adaptation options in the Dire Dawa administration zone, Eastern Ethiopia 探讨埃塞俄比亚东部迪雷达瓦行政区小农对气候变化及其适应方案的看法
IF 3.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-22 DOI: 10.1108/ijccsm-07-2023-0089
Girma Asefa Bogale

Purpose

This study aims to explore the smallholder farmers’ perceptions of climate change and its adaptation options (changing crop variety; improved crop and livestock; soil and water conservation [SWC]; and irrigation practices) and drought indices in the Dire Dawa Administration Zone, Eastern Ethiopia.

Design/methodology/approach

A cross-sectional household survey was used. A structured interview schedule for respondent households for key informants and focus group discussions were used. This study used both descriptive statistics and an econometric model. The model was used to compute the determinants of climate adaptation options in the study area. Drought characterization was carried out by DrinC software.

Findings

The results revealed households adapted to selected adaptation options. The model results confirmed that education level, farm size, tropical livestock units (TLUs) and access to agricultural extension services have positive and significant impacts on changing crop variety by 0.0014%, 0.045%, 0.032% and 0.035%, respectively. The likelihood of farmers’ decisions to use adaptation strategies (family size, TLU, agricultural extension service and distance from the market) has positive and significant impacts on SWC. The reconnaissance drought index (RDI6) of ONDJFM and AMJJAS showed extreme and severe drought index values of −2.88 and −1.96, respectively.

Originality/value

This study used a locally adopted climate change adaptation intervention for smallholder farmers, revealing the importance of drought characterization indices both seasonally and annually.

目的 本研究旨在探讨埃塞俄比亚东部迪雷达瓦行政区的小农对气候变化及其适应方案(改变作物品种;改良作物和牲畜;水土保持 [SWC];灌溉方法)和干旱指数的看法。对受访家庭的主要信息提供者采用了结构化访谈表,并进行了焦点小组讨论。本研究使用了描述性统计和计量经济学模型。该模型用于计算研究地区气候适应选择的决定因素。研究结果表明,家庭适应了选定的适应方案。模型结果证实,教育水平、农场规模、热带牲畜单位(TLUs)和获得农业推广服务的机会对改变作物品种分别有 0.0014%、0.045%、0.032% 和 0.035% 的积极显著影响。农民决定使用适应策略的可能性(家庭规模、传统土地利用单位、农业推广服务和与市场的距离)对小农作物产量有积极和显著的影响。ONDJFM和AMJJAS的勘察干旱指数(RDI6)显示极端和严重干旱指数值分别为-2.88和-1.96。 原创性/价值这项研究使用了当地采用的针对小农的气候变化适应干预措施,揭示了干旱特征指数在季节性和年度性方面的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Climate change and crop production nexus: assessing the role of technological development for sustainable agriculture in Vietnam 气候变化与作物生产的关系:评估技术发展对越南可持续农业的作用
IF 3.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-12 DOI: 10.1108/ijccsm-11-2022-0138
Abbas Ali Chandio, Huaquan Zhang, Waqar Akram, Narayan Sethi, Fayyaz Ahmad

Purpose

This study aims to examine the effects of climate change and agricultural technologies on crop production in Vietnam for the period 1990–2018.

Design/methodology/approach

Several econometric techniques – such as the augmented Dickey–Fuller, Phillips–Perron, the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds test, variance decomposition method (VDM) and impulse response function (IRF) are used for the empirical analysis.

Findings

The results of the ARDL bounds test confirm the significant dynamic relationship among the variables under consideration, with a significance level of 1%. The primary findings indicate that the average annual temperature exerts a negative influence on crop yield, both in the short term and in the long term. The utilization of fertilizer has been found to augment crop productivity, whereas the application of pesticides has demonstrated the potential to raise crop production in the short term. Moreover, both the expansion of cultivated land and the utilization of energy resources have played significant roles in enhancing agricultural output across both in the short term and in the long term. Furthermore, the robustness outcomes also validate the statistical importance of the factors examined in the context of Vietnam.

Research limitations/implications

This study provides persuasive evidence for policymakers to emphasize advancements in intensive agriculture as a means to mitigate the impacts of climate change. In the research, the authors use average annual temperature as a surrogate measure for climate change, while using fertilizer and pesticide usage as surrogate indicators for agricultural technologies. Future research can concentrate on the impact of ICT, climate change (specifically pertaining to maximum temperature, minimum temperature and precipitation), and agricultural technological improvements that have an impact on cereal production.

Originality/value

To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this study is the first to examine how climate change and technology effect crop output in Vietnam from 1990 to 2018. Various econometrics tools, such as ARDL modeling, VDM and IRF, are used for estimation.

本研究旨在探讨 1990-2018 年期间气候变化和农业技术对越南农作物生产的影响。本研究采用了几种计量经济学技术,如增强 Dickey-Fuller、Phillips-Perron、自回归分布滞后(ARDL)边界检验、方差分解法(VDM)和脉冲响应函数(IRF)进行实证分析。结果ARDL 边界检验的结果证实,所考虑的变量之间存在显著的动态关系,显著性水平为 1%。主要研究结果表明,无论是短期还是长期,年平均气温对作物产量都有负面影响。化肥的使用可以提高作物产量,而农药的使用则显示出短期内提高作物产量的潜力。此外,扩大耕地面积和利用能源资源在短期和长期内都对提高农业产量发挥了重要作用。此外,稳健性结果也验证了所研究因素在越南背景下的统计重要性。研究局限性/意义本研究为政策制定者提供了有说服力的证据,使其重视集约农业的发展,以此来减轻气候变化的影响。在研究中,作者使用年平均气温作为气候变化的替代指标,同时使用化肥和农药使用量作为农业技术的替代指标。未来的研究可以集中于信息和通信技术、气候变化(具体涉及最高气温、最低气温和降水量)以及对谷物生产有影响的农业技术改进的影响。本研究使用了多种计量经济学工具,如 ARDL 模型、VDM 和 IRF 进行估计。
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引用次数: 0
Why adaptation falters: principles for climate change adaptation policy assessment in Vietnam 适应为何会失败:越南气候变化适应政策评估原则
IF 3.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-29 DOI: 10.1108/ijccsm-05-2023-0063
Nguyen Minh Quang, Nozomi Kawarazuka, Thien Ngoc Nguyen-Pham, Thu Hoai Nguyen, Hieu Minh Le, Tho Thi Minh Tran, Thoa Thi Ngoc Huynh

Purpose

Recognition that not every climate adaptation policy is a good one has shifted attention to new tools and methods to measure the adequacy and effectiveness of adaptation policies. This study aims to propose and apply and applies an innovative adaptation policy assessment framework to identify the extent to which climate adaptation policies in Vietnam exhibit conditions that are likely to ensure a sufficient, credible and effective adaptation.

Design/methodology/approach

In total, 21 conditions, categorized under five normative principles and covering critical issue areas in adaptation domain, form the climate adaptation policy assessment framework. The principles were double-checked and tested in case studies through observations and analyses of policy documents to ensure that each condition should be distinct and not overlapping across principles. To see if the principles and attendant conditions were able to capture all relevant aspects of adaptation, the authors used structured expert judgment. In total, 39 policy documents pertaining to climate change adaptation were selected for qualitative document analysis. In-depth interviews with local officials and experts were conducted to address data gaps.

Findings

The study reveals major weaknesses constituting a reasonably worrisome picture of the adaptation policies in Vietnam since several critical conditions were underrepresented. These results shed new light on why some adaptation policies falter or are posing adverse impacts. The findings suggest that a sound policy assessment framework can provide evidence on what effective adaptation policy looks like and how it can be enabled. The framework for climate adaptation policy assessment in this study can be easily adjusted and used for different socio-environmental contexts in which new conditions for policy assessment might emerge.

Social implications

The findings show underlying weaknesses constituting a reasonably worrisome picture of the adaptation regime in Vietnam. In the absence of mechanisms and measures for accountability and transparency in policy processes, adaptation in Vietnam appears more likely to be prone to maladaptation and corruption. While solving these problems will not be easy for Vietnam, the government needs to evaluate whether the short-term gains in sustaining the existing adaptation policies really make progress and serve its long-term climate-adaptive development goals.

Originality/value

Although interpretations of adaptation effectiveness may be very divergent in different normative views on adaptation outcomes, the authors argue that a common, agreed-upon effectiveness can be reached if it is clearly defined and measurable in adaptation policies. Thus, the climate adaptation policy assessment framework proposed in this study is critical

目的由于认识到并非每项气候适应政策都是好政策,因此人们开始关注衡量适应政策充分性和有效性的新工具和新方法。本研究旨在提出并应用一个创新的适应政策评估框架,以确定越南的气候适应政策在多大程度上展现了可能确保充分、可信和有效适应的条件。通过对政策文件的观察和分析,在案例研究中对这些原则进行了反复检查和测试,以确保每个条件都应是独特的,而不是在原则之间相互重叠。为了确定这些原则和附带条件是否能够涵盖适应的所有相关方面,作者采用了结构化的专家判断。作者共选择了 39 份与气候变化适应相关的政策文件进行定性分析。研究结果这项研究揭示了越南适应政策的主要缺陷,由于一些关键条件未得到充分体现,因此越南的适应政策令人担忧。这些结果揭示了一些适应政策失效或造成负面影响的新原因。研究结果表明,一个合理的政策评估框架可以为有效的适应政策是什么样子以及如何使其生效提供证据。本研究中的气候适应政策评估框架可以很容易地进行调整,并可用于可能出现新政策评估条件的不同社会环境背景中。 社会影响研究结果表明,越南适应机制的潜在弱点令人担忧。由于缺乏政策过程中的问责制和透明度机制与措施,越南的适应似乎更容易出现适应不良和腐败问题。虽然解决这些问题对越南来说并非易事,但越南政府需要评估维持现有适应政策的短期收益是否真正取得了进展,是否有助于实现适应气候的长期发展目标。 原创性/价值虽然不同的适应成果规范对适应有效性的解释可能存在很大差异,但作者认为,如果适应政策中对有效性有明确的定义和可衡量性,就可以达成共同认可的有效性。因此,本研究中提出的气候适应政策评估框架对于政策制定者、实践者、捐赠者和处理适应问题的利益相关者来说至关重要,他们可以更好地了解政策制定过程中的不足之处,确定优先行动领域,并及时预防或准备应对政策可能带来的不利影响。
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引用次数: 0
Is the internet helping farmers build climate resilience? Evidence from rice production in the Jianghan Plain, China 互联网是否在帮助农民增强气候适应能力?来自中国江汉平原水稻生产的证据
IF 3.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-26 DOI: 10.1108/ijccsm-04-2023-0059
Q. Tong, Shan Ran, Xuan Liu, Lu Zhang, Junbiao Zhang
PurposeThe main purpose of this study is to examine the impact of agricultural internet information (AII) acquisition on climate-resilient variety adoption among rice farmers in the Jianghan Plain region of China. Additionally, it explores the influencing channels involved in this process.Design/methodology/approachBased on survey data for 877 rice farmers from 10 counties in the Jianghan Plain, China, this paper used an econometric approach to estimate the impact of AII acquisition on farmers’ adoption of climate-resilient varieties. A recursive bivariate Probit model was used to address endogeneity issues and obtain accurate estimates. Furthermore, three main influencing mechanisms were proposed and tested, which are broadening information channels, enhancing social interactions and improving agricultural skills.FindingsThe results show that acquiring AII can overall enhance the likelihood of farmers adopting climate-resilient varieties by 36.8%. The three influencing channels are empirically confirmed. Besides, educational attainment, income and peer effects can facilitate farmers’ acquisition of AII, while climate conditions and age significantly influence the adoption of climate-resilient varieties.Practical implicationsPractical recommendations are put forward to help farmers build climate resilience, including investing in rural internet infrastructures, enhancing farmers’ digital literacy and promoting the dissemination of climate-resilient information through diverse internet platforms.Originality/valueStrengthening climate resilience is essential for sustaining the livelihoods of farmers and ensuring national food security; however, the role of internet information has received limited attention. To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this study is the first to examine the casual relationship between internet information and climate resilience, which fills the research gap.
目的本研究的主要目的是探讨农业互联网信息(AII)的获取对中国江汉平原地区水稻种植农户气候适应性品种采纳的影响。本文基于对中国江汉平原 10 个县 877 位水稻种植农户的调查数据,采用计量经济学方法估计了农业互联网信息获取对农户采用气候适应性品种的影响。采用递归双变量 Probit 模型解决了内生性问题,并获得了准确的估计结果。此外,还提出并检验了三大影响机制,即拓宽信息渠道、加强社会互动和提高农业技能。三个影响渠道都得到了实证证实。实践意义提出了帮助农民建立气候抗御能力的实践建议,包括投资农村互联网基础设施、提高农民的数字素养以及通过多样化的互联网平台促进气候抗御信息的传播。独创性/价值加强气候抗御能力对于维持农民生计和确保国家粮食安全至关重要;然而,互联网信息的作用受到的关注有限。据作者所知,本研究首次考察了互联网信息与气候适应力之间的偶然关系,填补了研究空白。
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引用次数: 0
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International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management
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