THE SAVINGS-TRADE-FISCAL GAP MODEL: APPLICATION IN SELECTED WEST AFRICAN STATES

Efayena, O. Obukohwo, Buzugbe Patricia Ngozi
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Abstract

With most African economies experiencing adverse economic misalignment in recent times, the need of enhancing the growth process cannot be overemphasized. Using a typical Savings-Trade-Fiscal Gap Model, the paper employed panel data estimation method to examine the impact of savings, trade and fiscal gap on economic growth of 15 West African countries. The paper finds a negative relationship between net trade and economic growth, while savings and government expenditure impacts positively on economic performance. The paper thus, among recommended that it is appropriate for all countries to eliminate fiscal dominance from monetary policy-making, reduce public debt and establish institutions that promote and encourage counter-cyclical fiscal policy, develop their financial systems, establish credibility in fiscal and monetary policy-making as well as encourage trade.
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SAVINGS-TRADE-fscale差距模型在西非国家的应用
由于大多数非洲经济体最近经历了不利的经济失调,加强增长进程的必要性怎么强调都不为过。本文采用典型的储蓄-贸易-财政缺口模型,采用面板数据估计方法,考察了储蓄、贸易和财政缺口对15个西非国家经济增长的影响。本文发现净贸易与经济增长呈负相关,而储蓄和政府支出对经济绩效有正影响。因此,本文建议,所有国家都应该消除财政在货币政策制定中的主导地位,减少公共债务,建立促进和鼓励反周期财政政策的机构,发展其金融体系,在财政和货币政策制定中建立信誉,并鼓励贸易。
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