The Role of Age Groups in Improving Life Expectancy of Iran During 1976-2016

Mohammad Sasanipour
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Abstract

Background and aims: At least, during the last half-century, the mortality rate in Iran has decreased significantly, and life expectancy at birth has increased. To better understand the mechanisms of improving the health situation in Iran, this study sought to examine the contribution of age groups in improving life expectancy at birth during 1976 -2016. Methods: The required life tables for the years 1976, 1986, and 1996 were taken from previous studies. Furthermore, life tables for 2006 and 2016 were calculated using the data from the registration system of the Ministry of Health. Then, the contribution of each age group in improving life expectancy in Iran by sex was estimated using the Arriaga decomposition method, and data analysis was conducted by creating a template in Excel software. Results: The life expectancy at birth for men and women in Iran has increased by 18.7 and 21.5 years, respectively, during 1976–2016. Infant mortality was the most important factor in increasing life expectancy with 6.5 and 6 years for women and men, respectively. In addition, over time, the share of early deaths has decreased, and instead, old-age deaths have played a more prominent role in improving the life expectancy of men and women in Iran. Conclusion: Today, increasing life expectancy for both sexes is mainly achieved through reducing the mortality of the older population, and achieving more years for life expectancy is mainly due to comprehensive development, especially reducing health inequalities and increasing life expectancy at older ages.
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1976-2016年年龄组在提高伊朗预期寿命方面的作用
背景和目的:至少在过去的半个世纪里,伊朗的死亡率显著下降,出生时的预期寿命有所增加。为了更好地了解改善伊朗健康状况的机制,本研究试图考察1976年至2016年间年龄组在提高出生预期寿命方面的贡献。方法:1976年、1986年和1996年所需的生命表取自以前的研究。此外,2006年和2016年的生命表是使用卫生部登记系统的数据计算的。然后,使用Arriaga分解方法估计了每个年龄组在伊朗按性别提高预期寿命方面的贡献,并通过在Excel软件中创建模板进行数据分析。结果:1976年至2016年间,伊朗男性和女性的出生预期寿命分别增加了18.7岁和21.5岁。婴儿死亡率是延长预期寿命的最重要因素,女性和男性分别为6.5岁和6岁。此外,随着时间的推移,早期死亡的比例有所下降,相反,老年死亡在提高伊朗男女预期寿命方面发挥了更突出的作用。结论:如今,提高两性预期寿命主要是通过降低老年人口的死亡率来实现的,而实现更多的预期寿命主要归功于全面发展,特别是减少了健康不平等,提高了老年人的预期寿命。
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