Swiss electricity supply scenarios: Perspectives from the young generation

IF 5.8 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Energy and climate change Pub Date : 2023-05-22 DOI:10.1016/j.egycc.2023.100109
Simona Holzer , Alexane Dubois , Julia Cousse, Georgios Xexakis, Evelina Trutnevyte
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Abstract

While numerous studies have argued that public preferences need to be considered in energy transitions, the public has rarely informed the choice of normative scenarios from energy systems modelling. Using the case of Swiss electricity supply in 2035, we focus on a specific citizen group—school pupils of 10 to 18 years old—and use educational workshops to form and elicit their preferences in a way that helps choose scenarios from modelling. Initially, the 164 involved pupils had a simplistic understanding that future electricity supply mainly needs solar PV and electricity savings, but after our workshops they developed a more complete view that involved other technologies. The mean preferred scenario of the pupils for modelling relied on 88% renewable electricity, complemented by small shares of nuclear power, natural gas-based generation, and almost no net electricity imports. When compared to preferred scenarios for modelling elicited from 79 adult citizens and 60 energy experts in Switzerland, the pupils were less ambitious, since adults and experts preferred scenarios with 99% and 97% renewable sources on average. Most pupils opted for much more renewable electricity and less fossil fuel-based generation and imports than existing 82 model-based scenarios published in 2011–2018, indicating that the pupils’ preferred scenarios should complement existing scenarios.

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瑞士电力供应情景:来自年轻一代的视角
虽然许多研究认为,在能源转型中需要考虑公众的偏好,但公众很少从能源系统建模中得知规范情景的选择。以2035年瑞士的电力供应为例,我们将重点放在一个特定的公民群体上——10至18岁的学生——并利用教育研讨会来形成和引出他们的偏好,从而帮助他们从建模中选择场景。最初,参与的164名学生有一个简单的理解,即未来的电力供应主要需要太阳能光伏和节电,但在我们的研讨会之后,他们发展了一个涉及其他技术的更完整的观点。学生们对模型的平均偏好情景依赖于88%的可再生电力,辅以少量的核能,天然气发电,几乎没有净电力进口。与瑞士79名成年公民和60名能源专家提出的首选情景相比,学生们的雄心较小,因为成年人和专家平均更喜欢99%和97%可再生能源的情景。与2011-2018年公布的82个基于模型的情景相比,大多数学生选择了更多的可再生电力,更少的基于化石燃料的发电和进口,这表明学生首选的情景应该补充现有的情景。
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来源期刊
Energy and climate change
Energy and climate change Global and Planetary Change, Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment, Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law
CiteScore
7.90
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0.00%
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0
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