Syrians of today, Germans of tomorrow: the effect of initial placement on the political interest of Syrian refugees in Germany

IF 2.3 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Frontiers in Political Science Pub Date : 2023-05-16 DOI:10.3389/fpos.2023.1100446
Kamal Kassam, Maria Becker
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Abstract

Syrian nationals are not only the largest refugee group in Germany but also the third largest group of foreigners living in Germany. The naturalization trend among this group has been very pronounced in the last two years and is expected to increase sharply in the coming years. However, little is known about their political interest in German politics.1 Given the importance of “political interest” as an indicator of social integration and future active citizenship, this paper examines the extent to which Syrian refugees are interested in German politics and how local conditions at the time of arrival influence refugees' interest in German politics. We focus on three dimensions of the neighborhood context theory (social networks, economic situation, and political environment) in combination with traditional political participation theory. The empirical strategy relies on the exogenous allocation of refugees across federal states, which can be used to identify the effect of local characteristics on refugees' political interest. We use in our analysis a nationally representative sample in Germany (IAB-BAMF-SOEP-Refugee-Sample). Our findings suggest that ethnic social networks play a significant role in boosting newly arrived refugees' interest in German politics. Moreover, a higher unemployment rate among the foreign population is associated with an increase in political interest among Syrian refugees. We also confirm that a high political interest among the native population in Germany leads to a higher political interest among Syrian refugees. These results show that more attention needs to be paid to the integration of Syrian refugees and underline the need to reassess the efficiency of the distribution policy for Syrian refugees.
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今天的叙利亚人,明天的德国人:最初安置对德国境内叙利亚难民政治利益的影响
叙利亚国民不仅是德国最大的难民群体,也是居住在德国的第三大外国人群体。这一群体的入籍趋势在过去两年非常明显,预计在未来几年将急剧增加。然而,人们对他们对德国政治的政治兴趣知之甚少。1鉴于“政治兴趣”作为社会融合和未来积极公民身份的指标的重要性,本文考察了叙利亚难民对德国政治感兴趣的程度,以及抵达时的地方条件如何影响难民对德国政坛的兴趣。我们结合传统的政治参与理论,重点研究了邻里语境理论的三个维度(社会网络、经济形势和政治环境)。实证策略依赖于联邦各州对难民的外生分配,可以用来确定地方特征对难民政治利益的影响。我们在分析中使用了德国具有全国代表性的样本(IAB BAMF SOEP难民样本)。我们的研究结果表明,种族社交网络在提高新移民对德国政治的兴趣方面发挥着重要作用。此外,外国人口失业率较高与叙利亚难民的政治兴趣增加有关。我们还确认,德国本土人口的高度政治兴趣导致叙利亚难民的政治兴趣更高。这些结果表明,需要更加重视叙利亚难民的融入,并强调需要重新评估叙利亚难民分配政策的效率。
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来源期刊
Frontiers in Political Science
Frontiers in Political Science Social Sciences-Political Science and International Relations
CiteScore
2.90
自引率
0.00%
发文量
135
审稿时长
13 weeks
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