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Imagining the flood: rationalities of governance in sinking cities 想象洪水:下沉城市的治理合理性
IF 2.3 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-07-24 DOI: 10.3389/fpos.2024.1362526
Florian Steig
The rise in global sea levels poses a substantial, sometimes existential threat to coastal cities around the world, such as Bangkok, Lagos, or Jakarta. Adaptation projects range from hard infrastructure to nature-based solutions or ‘planned retreat’, often having severe implications in terms of equity and equality. Given the threat of urban flooding and submergence, this paper asks how ‘the future’ for these cities is imagined, and how sociotechnical imaginaries of climate futures inform policymaking. Using insights from poststructuralism and Science and Technology Studies (STS), I argue that the way of ‘seeing’ and ‘knowing’ sea level rise is constitutive of the rationalities that undergird the governing of rising water around the world. I trace the discrete operations of the discursive formations and imaginaries that have evolved globally around the issue of sea level rise, with their own distinctive logics. Analyzing a variety of globally circulating policy documents and local adaptation projects, I show how the governance of sea level rise is based on a very specific ‘expert’ knowledge that allows re-designing sinking cities ‘from above’. This kind of knowledge, provided by a depoliticizing global network of consultants, designers, and development banks, privileges imaginaries of modernity and control using technology and engineering, as well as ideas on how populations in flood-prone areas are expected to govern themselves in the advent of rising sea levels. These imaginaries tend to marginalize alternative local adaptation practices, lead to unintended outcomes, and often discriminate against those who are already vulnerable to climate change impacts.
全球海平面的上升对世界各地的沿海城市,如曼谷、拉各斯或雅加达,构成了巨大的、有时是生存的威胁。适应项目从硬基础设施到基于自然的解决方案或 "有计划的撤退",往往对公平和平等产生严重影响。鉴于城市洪水和淹没的威胁,本文询问人们如何想象这些城市的 "未来",以及对气候未来的社会技术想象如何影响决策。利用后结构主义和科技研究(STS)的观点,我认为 "看待 "和 "认识 "海平面上升的方式构成了世界各地治理水位上升的合理性。我追溯了围绕海平面上升问题在全球范围内形成的话语形式和想象力的离散运作,这些话语形式和想象力有着各自独特的逻辑。通过分析各种在全球范围内流传的政策文件和地方适应项目,我展示了海平面上升的治理是如何以一种非常特殊的 "专家 "知识为基础的,这种知识允许 "从上面 "重新设计正在下沉的城市。这种知识是由顾问、设计师和开发银行组成的非政治化全球网络提供的,它为利用技术和工程进行现代化和控制的想象提供了特权,也为洪水易发地区的居民在海平面上升的情况下如何进行自我管理提供了特权。这些想象往往会使当地的其他适应做法边缘化,导致意想不到的结果,而且往往会歧视那些已经很容易受到气候变化影响的人。
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引用次数: 0
The relationship between political legitimacy and economic legitimacy: empirical explorations of a novel research approach on legitimacy 政治合法性与经济合法性之间的关系:对新的合法性研究方法的实证探索
IF 2.3 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-07-22 DOI: 10.3389/fpos.2024.1198295
Zsófia S. Ignácz
The paper outlines key points of a novel research approach to empirically investigate the question of legitimacy in modern societies. This new research approach utilizes a functionalist perspective to expand the concept of legitimacy. Accordingly, the conceptual framework discusses how legitimacy can be employed in different domains of society. In particular, it proposes to conceptualize both the legitimacy of the political system (political legitimacy) as well as the legitimacy of the economic system (economic legitimacy). The main objectives of the study are to (1) develop conceptualizations that are empirically plausible for the two types of legitimacies; (2) to empirically verify the operationalization; and (3) to assess empirically the relationship between these two types of legitimacies and identify interdependencies between them. The paper employs a macro-level research design to understand the relationship between political and economic legitimacy, where the main units of analysis are countries. The study compiles a new country-level dataset of indicators for political and economic legitimacy based on a large selection of secondary cross-national data sources. It employs then structural equation modeling to established empirical measurement models for political and economic legitimacy. Moreover, the relationship of political and economic legitimacy is explored with a cross-lagged panel model. The paper establishes that political and economic legitimacy are two distinct concepts empirically. Furthermore, the empirical results indicate that political legitimacy has a negative influence on economic legitimacy, whereas economic legitimacy does not effect political legitimacy. Overall, the paper shows the viability of this new research approach and potential pitfalls for future research. The empirical evidence should be interpreted with caution due to low data quality, nonetheless the paper contributes to taking a step closer toward understanding how governments can ensure stable societies.
本文概述了以实证研究现代社会合法性问题的新研究方法的要点。这种新的研究方法利用功能主义视角来扩展合法性的概念。因此,概念框架讨论了如何在社会的不同领域运用合法性。特别是,它建议对政治制度的合法性(政治合法性)和经济制度的合法性(经济合法性)进行概念化。本研究的主要目标是:(1) 为这两类合法性提出在实证上可行的概念;(2) 对操作化进行实证验证;(3) 对这两类合法性之间的关系进行实证评估,并确定它们之间的相互依存关系。本文采用宏观研究设计来理解政治和经济合法性之间的关系,主要分析单位是国家。本研究在大量二手跨国数据的基础上,汇编了一套新的国家级政治和经济合法性指标数据集。然后采用结构方程模型建立了政治和经济合法性的实证测量模型。此外,本文还利用跨滞后面板模型探讨了政治和经济合法性之间的关系。本文从实证角度确定了政治合法性和经济合法性是两个不同的概念。此外,实证结果表明,政治合法性对经济合法性有负面影响,而经济合法性并不影响政治合法性。总之,本文表明了这种新研究方法的可行性以及未来研究的潜在隐患。由于数据质量不高,在解释经验证据时应谨慎,但本文有助于进一步理解政府如何确保社会稳定。
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引用次数: 0
Exclusive public—an analysis of public participation in the site selection procedure for a repository for nuclear waste 专属公众--对公众参与核废料储存库选址程序的分析
IF 2.3 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-07-19 DOI: 10.3389/fpos.2024.1271062
Albert Denk
The aim of this article is to highlight and conceptualize key aspects of social closures that impact the German nuclear waste management case. According to the German legislator, the public must be involved in the search for a final repository for high-level radioactive waste. De facto, however, almost the entire population of Germany is excluded. In this article, processes of social closure are identified which lead to this and more extensive problematic situations with regard to procedural gaps. The participatory claim of the procedure already contains indeterminacies, participation conditions and concrete exclusions that make broad participation impossible. Based on the analysis of social closures to the outside and to the inside, it is shown that this participation only includes extremely few, generally better-off citizens and does not meet the claim to represent the public. Above all, closure mechanisms have an external effect, due to the characteristics of a supposed separation between people and their natural environment, the nation-statehood, and a limitation to symptom control. Internal closures function due to ignorance of unequal social positions, nuclear-historical amnesia, and the decoupling of safety and justice. This article ends with the conceptual creation of an exclusive public, which describes a process of state instrumentalization of public participation.
本文旨在强调社会封闭的关键方面并将其概念化,这些方面对德国核废料管理案例产生了影响。根据德国立法机构的规定,公众必须参与寻找高放射性废物的最终处置场所。但事实上,德国几乎所有人口都被排除在外。本文指出了社会封闭的过程,这些过程导致了这一问题以及更广泛的程序漏洞问题。程序的参与性要求已经包含了不确定性、参与条件和具体的排斥,这使得广泛参与成为不可能。根据对社会向外和向内封闭的分析,可以看出这种参与只包括极少数一般比较富裕的公民,并不符合代表公众的要求。最重要的是,封闭机制具有外部效应,这是由于人与其自然环境、民族国家之间的假定分离,以及症状控制的局限性。由于对不平等社会地位的无知、核历史健忘症以及安全与正义的脱钩,内部封闭机制发挥着作用。本文最后提出了 "排他性公众 "的概念,描述了国家将公众参与工具化的过程。
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引用次数: 0
Laughing your vote off: the impact of candidates’ humor on voters’ emotions and intentions 笑掉大牙:候选人的幽默对选民情绪和意向的影响
IF 2.3 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-07-18 DOI: 10.3389/fpos.2024.1398686
Andrés Mendiburo-Seguel, Andrew R. Olah, Dario Paez, Patricio Navia
Both the Theory of Affective Intelligence and the Expectancy Violation Theory suggest emotions are crucial in supporting political candidates. However, despite the considerable existing evidence on this topic, the impact of humor-induced emotions has been less explored. In this study, we examine whether positive and negative emotions mediate the effects of politicians’ use of affiliative humor on their likeability and citizen’s intention to vote for them. To do this, we designed an experiment in the context of the Chilean presidential elections of 2021, where two candidates representing extreme opposing ideologies competed for the office of president: Gabriel Boric, from a coalition including the Communist Party, and José Antonio Kast from the extreme-right Republican Party. Both candidates used different campaign techniques, including humor that did not always have political content. The experiment was run prior to the second round of the election with a sample of Chilean voters two months before the election (n = 1,033) and had four conditions: two experimental groups watched a video of a candidate using nonpolitical humor, and two control groups did not. Results indicate that humor boosted both candidates’ likeability and vote probability differently: for Boric, it increased positive emotions; for Kast, it reduced negative emotions. Perceptions of a candidate’s humor predicted higher likeability and declared probability of voting for him, independent of political stance. We discuss these outcomes through ITA and EVT frameworks and their significance for political communication.
情感智力理论(Theory of Affective Intelligence)和期望违背理论(Expectancy Violation Theory)都认为,情感对于支持政治候选人至关重要。然而,尽管已有大量相关证据,但对幽默引发的情绪影响的探讨却较少。在本研究中,我们探讨了积极情绪和消极情绪是否会调节政治家使用附属幽默对其亲和力和公民投票意向的影响。为此,我们设计了一个以 2021 年智利总统选举为背景的实验,两名代表极端对立意识形态的候选人竞争总统职位:加布里埃尔-博里奇(Gabriel Boric)来自包括共产党在内的联盟,何塞-安东尼奥-卡斯特(José Antonio Kast)来自极右翼的共和党。两位候选人使用了不同的竞选技巧,包括并不总是包含政治内容的幽默。实验在第二轮选举前进行,在选举前两个月对智利选民进行了抽样调查(n = 1,033),共有四种情况:两个实验组观看了候选人使用非政治幽默的视频,两个对照组没有观看。结果表明,幽默以不同方式提高了两位候选人的受欢迎程度和得票率:对博里奇来说,幽默增加了积极情绪;对卡斯特来说,幽默减少了消极情绪。对候选人幽默的感知预示着更高的好感度和投票给他的概率,这与政治立场无关。我们通过 ITA 和 EVT 框架讨论了这些结果及其对政治传播的意义。
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引用次数: 0
Measuring the concentration of military power in the international geopolitical system: Singer’s methodology using only military indicators 衡量国际地缘政治体系中军事力量的集中程度:辛格仅使用军事指标的方法论
IF 2.3 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-07-17 DOI: 10.3389/fpos.2024.1412260
P. Bunyavejchewin, Supruet Thavornyutikarn, Pattanarat Faugchun, P. Kamonpetch
This study quantitatively examines the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the concentration of military power within the international geopolitical system from 2014 to 2023. Utilizing a modified Composite Indicator of National Capability (mCINC) based on defense budgets and military personnel, this study analyzes the relative concentration of military capabilities among 145 states. Derived from the Correlates of War Project, our methodology enables an examination of variations in military capability concentration, especially during the pandemic years. The results trend towards the dispersion of military capabilities, with notable variations observed during the COVID-19 period, reflecting a more equitable distribution among states, notably major powers. These variations are attributed to a decrease in military capabilities among democracies, particularly the United States, and an increase in Russia’s military power. The study concludes that the pandemic years have led to a nuanced adjustment towards greater multipolarity, hinting at potential instability and uncertainty in geopolitics.
本研究定量分析了 COVID-19 大流行对 2014 年至 2023 年国际地缘政治体系内军事力量集中的影响。本研究利用基于国防预算和军事人员的国家能力综合指标(mCINC),分析了 145 个国家军事能力的相对集中程度。我们的研究方法源自 "战争相关性项目"(Correlates of War Project),可用于研究军事能力集中度的变化,尤其是在大流行病时期。研究结果趋向于军事能力的分散,在 COVID-19 期间观察到了明显的变化,反映出国家之间,尤其是大国之间的分布更加公平。这些变化归因于民主国家(尤其是美国)军事能力的下降和俄罗斯军事实力的增强。研究得出结论,大流行病时期导致了向更大多极化的细微调整,暗示了地缘政治中潜在的不稳定性和不确定性。
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引用次数: 0
Accountability and oversight in the Dutch intelligence and security domains in the digital age 数字时代荷兰情报和安全领域的问责与监督
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-04 DOI: 10.3389/fpos.2024.1383026
Jorge Constantino, Ben Wagner
Accountability is considered a cornerstone of public administration and good governance. This study characterizes the relationship between the Dutch Intelligence and Secret Service (“AIVD”) and citizens (represented by parliament, courts, and oversight boards) as a complex actor-forum relationship. We utilize different accountability principles of public administration found in international and Dutch instruments and academic literature to propose workable principles of accountability for the AIVD. These proposed principles of accountability can be summarized as acting within duty, explainability, necessity, proportionality, reporting and record keeping, redress, and continuous independent oversight. Similarly, there are some conditions to support the workability of accountability principles. These conditions may be characterized as productive actor-forum relationships, cooperation, flexibility, value alignment, and learning and improving opportunities.
问责制被认为是公共行政和良好治理的基石。本研究将荷兰情报和特工局("AIVD")与公民(由议会、法院和监督委员会代表)之间的关系描述为一种复杂的行为者-论坛关系。我们利用国际和荷兰文书及学术文献中不同的公共行政问责原则,为荷兰情报和特工局提出可行的问责原则。这些拟议的问责原则可概括为:在职责范围内行事、可解释性、必要性、相称性、报告和记 录保存、补救和持续的独立监督。同样,支持问责原则可行的还有一些条件。这些条件可归纳为:富有成效的行为者-论坛关系、合作、灵活性、价值一致性以及学习和改进的机会。
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引用次数: 0
It’s not just what you say: the impact of message tone on intra-party endorsements 不只是你说了什么:信息基调对党内支持的影响
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.3389/fpos.2024.1363974
Tom Vizcarrondo, Milad Minooie
This study expands previous research on political endorsements by focusing on the tone of the endorsement, rather than the endorser or the presence/absence of any endorsement at all. Using a 2×2 experimental design and a sample of 906 registered voters from a midwestern U.S. state, this study measures the effect of positive and negative endorsements on the voter perceptions of the endorsee, endorser, and unendorsed candidate during a partisan primary election campaign. Results support the idea that positive endorsements generally improve voters’ attitudes toward the endorsee and the endorser and negative endorsements generally hurt voters’ perception of the unendorsed candidate. Further interaction analyses show that factors such as a voter’s existing enthusiasm for politics, government, and politicians can moderate the effect of endorsements. The findings are in line with the proposition of the Social Judgment Theory and support the existing literature on the effect of endorsements.
本研究扩展了以往关于政治背书的研究,重点关注背书的语气,而不是背书人或有无背书。本研究采用 2×2 实验设计,以美国中西部某州的 906 名登记选民为样本,测量了在党派初选期间,积极和消极背书对选民对背书人、背书人和未背书候选人看法的影响。研究结果表明,积极背书通常会改善选民对被背书人和背书人的态度,而消极背书通常会损害选民对未被背书候选人的看法。进一步的交互分析表明,选民对政治、政府和政治家的现有热情等因素可以缓和背书的影响。研究结果与社会判断理论的主张相一致,并支持了有关背书效应的现有文献。
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引用次数: 0
Role of institutions in public management: developing case studies for divergent policy systems 机构在公共管理中的作用:针对不同政策体系开展案例研究
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-13 DOI: 10.3389/fpos.2024.1258811
Vaishali Singh
Public policy management has an intractable nature, and the institutional complexity of governance further exacerbates its practice. Transnational learning cutting across countries and policy areas can contribute to this policy knowledge in dealing with multifarious issues in public management. Understanding the institutional mix in public management in various contexts enhances the existing comprehension of how the national pattern of public management works differently in different socio-economic, cultural, and political settings. The present research aims to study the institutional framework in the form of state structure (unitary or federal) and the nature of executive government (majoritarian or consensual) in delineating the influence of institutions on public management processes in divergent policy systems. The paper undertakes four in-depth country case studies and the public management reforms as a response to institutional pressure are examined using the 4 M strategy–Maintain (holding on to existing administrative structures and processes), Modernize (keeping service delivery and regulation up to date), Marketize (efficiency and user-responsive public management), and Minimize (reducing state-led regulation). The case studies highlight the differences in the broad direction and energy of implementation that characterize a particular policy style. The results of the study indicate that even though the institutional dimensions are not present in strict polarization, the impact of the institutional mix is evident in the dominant strategies of public management reforms adopted at the national level.
公共政策管理具有棘手的性质,而治理机构的复杂性又进一步加剧了其实践。跨国家和跨政策领域的跨国学习有助于在处理公共管理的各种问题时掌握政策知识。了解不同背景下公共管理的机构组合,可以加深对国家公共管理模式如何在不同社会经济、文化和政治环境下以不同方式发挥作用的理解。本研究旨在研究以国家结构(单一制或联邦制)和行政政府性质(多数派或协商一致)为形式的制度框架,以界定不同政策体系中制度对公共管理过程的影响。本文对四个国家进行了深入的案例研究,并采用 4 M 战略--保持(坚持现有的行政结构和程序)、现代化(保持服务提供和监管的与时俱进)、市场化(提高效率和响应用户的公共管理)和最小化(减少国家主导的监管)--对公共管理改革作为对体制压力的回应进行了研究。案例研究强调了特定政策风格在大方向和执行力度上的差异。研究结果表明,尽管制度层面没有出现严格的两极分化,但制度组合的影响在国家层面采取的公共管理改革主导战略中显而易见。
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引用次数: 0
Local economic development strategies in a medium-sized city on the European periphery: a path to become an economic center of Eastern Central Europe importance 欧洲边缘中等城市的地方经济发展战略:成为中东欧重要经济中心的途径
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-10 DOI: 10.3389/fpos.2024.1335735
Gábor Kozma, Feyrouz Ahlam Saidi, E. Molnár
Large cities are becoming increasingly valuable in the spatial structure of globalized economies. Although these centers vary significantly regarding population, economic structure, and income conditions, they—compared to their surroundings—generally show a higher productivity level, a higher rate of employment, higher education, and higher innovation performance. However, this metropolization and concentration of the economy in large cities made the development of cities regarded as medium-sized on an international scale an issue of competitiveness in Europe, characterized by dense town networks, a small number of metropolises, and a significant weight of medium- and small-sized towns. However, one of the main preconditions for achieving success in this competition is to form a comprehensive and complex concept with a significant emphasis on economic development. Therefore, the aim of our study is to analyze the local economic development strategies for the last three decades, as elaborated in Debrecen. In the framework of our empirical analysis, we examined how different mainstream concepts appear in local development strategies and which development objectives are determined by the local strategies. Furthermore, we also aimed to identify possible changes in ideas about city roles by referring to the organization of economic space.
在全球化经济的空间结构中,大城市的价值与日俱增。尽管这些中心城市在人口、经济结构和收入条件方面存在很大差异,但与周围环境相比,它们一般都显示出较高的生产力水平、较高的就业率、较高的教育水平和较高的创新能力。然而,这种大都市化和经济向大城市集中的现象使得在国际范围内被视为中等城市的城市的发展成为欧洲的一个竞争力问题,其特点是城镇网络密集、大都市数量少、中小城镇比重大。然而,在这场竞争中取得成功的一个主要先决条件是形成一个以经济发展为重点的全面而复杂的概念。因此,我们的研究旨在分析德布勒森在过去三十年中制定的地方经济发展战略。在实证分析的框架内,我们研究了不同的主流概念是如何出现在地方发展战略中的,以及哪些发展目标是由地方战略决定的。此外,我们还旨在通过经济空间的组织来确定城市角色观念可能发生的变化。
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引用次数: 0
Civilians at war: focusing on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and scrutinizing the doctrine of non-combatant immunity 战争中的平民:关注以色列-巴勒斯坦冲突并仔细研究非战斗人员豁免理论
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-10 DOI: 10.3389/fpos.2024.1400307
Xia Liu
The principle of non-combatant immunity was codified in the Code of International Law and developed into an important foundation for the doctrine of just war, whose origins can be traced to the moral imperative of religious support. The doctrine advocates that persons deemed innocent should be protected from the threat of war, and it is the most widely recognized and deeply rooted moral constraint on the conduct of war. However, the principle of non-combatant immunity has not really deterred the outbreak of war, leaving the international community committed to utopian ideals. In the contemporary context of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, the principle of non-combatant immunity has been rendered ineffective as civilians are forced to be on the frontlines of both sides of the war. The principle of “just war” seems to have taken on a new basis, with self-defense becoming the pretext for justifying war, and the international community unable to rescue civilians from the flames of war amidst the outcry. There is an urgent need for the international community to re-examine and re-evaluate the immunity of non-combatants, and to limit the use of war as a “legitimate” means of resolving international conflicts. This article calls for a critical assessment of the normativity and effectiveness of the existing law on the principle of non-combatants, and a rethinking of how to construct a more rational and high-level principle to enhance the protection of non-combatants.
非战斗人员豁免原则被编入《国际法法典》,并发展成为正义战争理论的重要基础,其起源可追溯到宗教支持的道德要求。该理论主张应保护被视为无辜的人免受战争威胁,它是对战争行为最广泛认可和根深蒂固的道德约束。然而,非战斗人员豁免原则并没有真正阻止战争的爆发,使国际社会致力于乌托邦式的理想。在以巴冲突的当代背景下,平民被迫站在战争双方的前线,使非战斗豁免原则失去了作用。正义战争 "原则似乎有了新的依据,自卫成了为战争辩护的借口,而国际社会却无法在一片哗然声中把平民从战火中解救出来。国际社会迫切需要重新审视和评估非战斗人员的豁免权,限制将战争作为解决国际冲突的 "合法 "手段。本文呼吁对有关非战斗人员原则的现行法律的规范性和有效性进行批判性评估,并重新思考如何构建一个更合理、更高层次的原则来加强对非战斗人员的保护。
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引用次数: 0
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Frontiers in Political Science
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