Fiscal Consolidation: Welfare Effects of the Adjustment Speed

M. Fonseca
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Abstract

This article studies the response of social welfare to fiscal consolidations, by focusing on a less debated characteristic of fiscal plans: the speed of deleveraging. A neoclassical overlapping generations model is calibrated to the German economy, and a sequence of reductions of the same size in the debt‑ to GDP ratio are simulated considering different adjustment periods. Welfare gains are found to be larger in slow, delayed fiscal consolidations, due to the presence of incomplete markets. It is also found that the aggregate welfare response depends on the distribution of wealth and the type of fiscal instrument used.
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财政整顿:调整速度的福利效应
本文研究了社会福利对财政整顿的反应,重点关注了财政计划中一个不太受争议的特征:去杠杆化的速度。新古典重叠世代模型根据德国经济进行了校准,并在考虑不同调整期的情况下模拟了债务与GDP比率相同规模的一系列下降。由于存在不完整的市场,在缓慢、延迟的财政整合中,福利收益更大。研究还发现,总福利反应取决于财富分配和使用的财政工具类型。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
0.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
5
审稿时长
35 weeks
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