How Incarcerating Children Affects their Labour Market Outcomes

IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q3 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION Journal of Social Policy Pub Date : 2023-05-29 DOI:10.1017/s0047279423000235
R. Dorsett, D. Thomson
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Abstract

We investigate the labour market effects of incarcerating children. Using linked administrative data to track outcomes for English schoolchildren, we estimate an econometric model of transitions between education, custody, employment and NEET (not in employment, education or training), along with earnings for those starting work. We allow outcomes to vary according to the individual’s state in the preceding spell and, by controlling for personal characteristics and unobserved heterogeneity, interpret such variation as capturing causal impacts. For males, the main effect of incarceration is a reduction of more than 10% in the probability of employment. For females, there is no overall impact on employment but, for those entering work, wages are reduced by 25%. These negative impacts suggest roles for policy in deterring delinquency, finding alternatives to custody, rehabilitating those incarcerated and supporting resettlement on release. Appropriate labour market policy may differ by gender, with males needing help to overcome employer discrimination and females needing encouragement to achieve better-paid work.
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监禁儿童如何影响他们的劳动力市场结果
我们调查了监禁儿童对劳动力市场的影响。使用相关的行政数据来跟踪英国学童的结果,我们估计了教育、监护、就业和NEET(非就业、教育或培训)之间的转变,以及开始工作的人的收入的计量经济模型。我们允许结果根据个人在前一段时间的状态而变化,并通过控制个人特征和未观察到的异质性,将这种变化解释为捕捉因果影响。对于男性来说,监禁的主要影响是就业概率降低了10%以上。对于女性来说,这对就业没有总体影响,但对于那些进入工作岗位的女性来说,工资降低了25%。这些负面影响表明,政策在遏制犯罪、寻找羁押替代方案、改造被监禁者和支持释放后重新安置方面发挥着作用。适当的劳动力市场政策可能因性别而异,男性需要帮助克服雇主歧视,女性需要鼓励才能获得高薪工作。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.40
自引率
20.00%
发文量
89
期刊介绍: The Journal of Social Policy carries high quality articles on all aspects of social policy in an international context. It places particular emphasis upon articles which seek to contribute to debates on the future direction of social policy, to present new empirical data, to advance theories, or to analyse issues in the making and implementation of social policies. The Journal of Social Policy is part of the "Social Policy Package", which also includes Social Policy and Society and the Social Policy Digest. An online resource, the Social Policy Digest, was launched in 2003. The Digest provides a regularly up-dated, fully searchable, summary of policy developments and research findings across the whole range of social policy.
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