The Unprecedented Stock Market Reaction to COVID-19

IF 2.2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Review of Asset Pricing Studies Pub Date : 2020-07-18 DOI:10.1093/rapstu/raaa008
S. Baker, N. Bloom, S. Davis, Kyle J Kost, Marco Sammon, Tasaneeya Viratyosin
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引用次数: 1028

Abstract

Abstract No previous infectious disease outbreak, including the Spanish Flu, has affected the stock market as forcefully as the COVID-19 pandemic. In fact, previous pandemics left only mild traces on the U.S. stock market. We use text-based methods to develop these points with respect to large daily stock market moves back to 1900 and with respect to overall stock market volatility back to 1985. We also evaluate potential explanations for the unprecedented stock market reaction to the COVID-19 pandemic. The evidence we amass suggests that government restrictions on commercial activity and voluntary social distancing, operating with powerful effects in a service-oriented economy, are the main reasons the U.S. stock market reacted so much more forcefully to COVID-19 than to previous pandemics in 1918–1919, 1957–1958, and 1968.
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股市对新冠肺炎的空前反应
迄今为止,包括西班牙流感在内的任何传染病疫情都没有像新冠肺炎疫情那样对股市造成如此强烈的影响。事实上,之前的流行病对美国股市只留下了轻微的影响。我们使用基于文本的方法,根据1900年以来的每日股市大幅波动,以及1985年以来的整体股市波动,来开发这些点。我们还评估了股市对COVID-19大流行前所未有的反应的潜在解释。我们收集的证据表明,政府对商业活动和自愿保持社会距离的限制在服务型经济中发挥了强大的作用,这是美国股市对COVID-19的反应比1918-1919、1957-1958和1968年的前几次大流行强烈得多的主要原因。
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来源期刊
Review of Asset Pricing Studies
Review of Asset Pricing Studies BUSINESS, FINANCE-
CiteScore
19.80
自引率
0.80%
发文量
17
期刊介绍: The Review of Asset Pricing Studies (RAPS) is a journal that aims to publish high-quality research in asset pricing. It evaluates papers based on their original contribution to the understanding of asset pricing. The topics covered in RAPS include theoretical and empirical models of asset prices and returns, empirical methodology, macro-finance, financial institutions and asset prices, information and liquidity in asset markets, behavioral investment studies, asset market structure and microstructure, risk analysis, hedge funds, mutual funds, alternative investments, and other related topics. Manuscripts submitted to RAPS must be exclusive to the journal and should not have been previously published. Starting in 2020, RAPS will publish three issues per year, owing to an increasing number of high-quality submissions. The journal is indexed in EconLit, Emerging Sources Citation IndexTM, RePEc (Research Papers in Economics), and Scopus.
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