The future of UN peace operations: Principled adaptation through phases of contraction, moderation, and renewal

IF 4 1区社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Contemporary Security Policy Pub Date : 2021-04-03 DOI:10.1080/13523260.2021.1894021

Cedric de Coning

引用次数: 18

Abstract

ABSTRACT This article considers the future of UN peace operations through a complexity theory lens. In the short-term peacekeeping will have to adapt to the consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic and the fall-out of the Trump presidency. In the medium-term peacekeeping will go through a phase of uncertainty and turbulence due to geopolitical power shifts in the global order. In the longer-term peacekeeping will have to adapt to a new multipolar global order characterized by coexistence, and a changing security landscape shaped by, among others, climate change, urbanization, and new technologies. Throughout these contraction, moderation, and adjustment phases, UN peacekeeping is likely to be guided by a principled adaptive approach, that allows it to adapt to the realities of the moment whilst staying true to its core form and identity. As a result, UN peacekeeping is likely to remain one of the most visible symbols of global governance and international cooperation.

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联合国和平行动的未来:通过收缩、缓和和更新阶段进行有原则的适应

摘要本文从复杂性理论的视角来思考联合国和平行动的未来。在短期内，维和行动将不得不适应新冠肺炎疫情和特朗普总统任期失败的后果。在中期，由于全球秩序中地缘政治力量的转变，维和行动将经历一个不确定和动荡的阶段。从长远来看，维和行动必须适应以共存为特征的多极全球新秩序，以及由气候变化、城市化和新技术等因素塑造的不断变化的安全格局。在这些收缩、缓和和调整阶段，联合国维和行动可能会以原则性的适应性方法为指导，使其能够适应当前的现实，同时保持其核心形式和身份。因此，联合国维和行动很可能仍然是全球治理和国际合作最明显的象征之一。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Contemporary Security Policy Multiple-

CiteScore

14.60

自引率

6.80%

发文量

期刊介绍： One of the oldest peer-reviewed journals in international conflict and security, Contemporary Security Policy promotes theoretically-based research on policy problems of armed conflict, intervention and conflict resolution. Since it first appeared in 1980, CSP has established its unique place as a meeting ground for research at the nexus of theory and policy. Spanning the gap between academic and policy approaches, CSP offers policy analysts a place to pursue fundamental issues, and academic writers a venue for addressing policy. Major fields of concern include: War and armed conflict Peacekeeping Conflict resolution Arms control and disarmament Defense policy Strategic culture International institutions. CSP is committed to a broad range of intellectual perspectives. Articles promote new analytical approaches, iconoclastic interpretations and previously overlooked perspectives. Its pages encourage novel contributions and outlooks, not particular methodologies or policy goals. Its geographical scope is worldwide and includes security challenges in Europe, Africa, the Middle-East and Asia. Authors are encouraged to examine established priorities in innovative ways and to apply traditional methods to new problems.