Tomás Darío Marín Velásquez, Dany Day Josefina Arriojas Tocuyo
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Abstract
The historical behavior of Venezuelan journals indexed in Scopus from 2000 to 2020, their visibility and impact were studied. The data were obtained from the Scimago Journals and Country Rank portal and were a number of journals, published papers, impact factor (SJR) and quartile of location. The historical behavior of each variable was analyzed using sequential time series models to establish whether the behavior has been random or whether it follows a defined trend. It was found that both the number of journals and the number of published papers follow definite trends and SJR behaves randomly. The decrease in the number of journals may be influenced by the critical socioeconomic situation of the country; however, the number of papers has increased over time and the SJR has remained in a narrow range, meaning that most journals fall between the Q3 and Q4 quartile.
研究了2000年至2020年Scopus收录的委内瑞拉期刊的历史行为及其可见性和影响。数据来自Scimago Journals and Country Rank门户网站，包括许多期刊、发表的论文、影响因素（SJR）和位置的四分位数。使用时序时间序列模型分析每个变量的历史行为，以确定行为是否是随机的或是否遵循定义的趋势。研究发现，期刊数量和发表论文数量都有一定的趋势，SJR表现为随机性。期刊数量的减少可能受到该国严峻的社会经济形势的影响；然而，随着时间的推移，论文数量有所增加，SJR保持在较窄的范围内，这意味着大多数期刊都在第三季度和第四季度之间。
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