The Pharmaceutical Industry in New EU Member States: A Statistical Comparison with Germany. Lessons for Ukraine

D. Honcharenko
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Abstract

Pharmaceutical production is a strategic sector of the EU economy. The authorities of Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) countries that became EU members in 2004 have been building up domestic pharmaceutical industries for purposes of production and distribution of medical drugs (MDs) and medical products (MPs), on the one hand, and government assistance to business entities and public procurement, on the other. The article’s objective is to assess the change in economic performance of the pharmaceutical industry in Poland, Hungary and Czechia after their accession to EU, to make a comparative statistical analysis with Germany, the leader of pharmaceutical production in EU, and to reveal key problems of this industry development in CEE countries, in order to elaborate recommendations for Ukraine on replication of best practices and avoidance of potential risks. Results of research show that pharmaceutical producers (group 54 SITC Rev.4) in CEE countries have been focusing mostly on EU market, with Germany being their main partner. The turnover of high tech pharmaceutical goods in CEE countries has significantly grown after the accession to EU, along with the significantly grown imports of these goods and the increasing negative trade balance. Pharmaceutical companies in CEE countries could increase the salaries and the apparent labor productivity, but the gap between them and Germany in salary and productivity terms still remains too wide. In the studied CEE countries there has been significant increase in pharmaceutical R&D spending, but its estimated share remains quite low compared with average figures for EU (16.1%) and Germany (25.6%). It is substantiated that because the future Agreement between the European Community and Ukraine on conformity assessment and acceptance of industrial products (ACAA agreement, or “Industrial visa-free regime”), which is being negotiated right now, will cover the pharmaceutical industry, the Ukrainian pharmaceutics will gain benefits only given the consolidated endogenous capacities of the industry and firmly established advantages of localization providing stimuli for European companies to create production facilities and R&D centers in Ukraine (including ones for contract-based R&D and productions). It is demonstrated that the inflow of investment and technologies from European pharmaceutical companies is capable of accelerating production start-up and exports of MDs and MPs (as time need not be lost for setting up all the links of the chain), thus adding up to the assets of Ukrainian producers (through transfer of knowledge and skills), but all the above cannot compensate for domestic efforts aimed at creating tangible and intangible assets in the industry. Given its Eurointegration context, Ukraine needs to pursue the policy of increasing the industry’s endogenous capacities and rely on the comprehensive approach (instead of focusing on MDs and MPs) that will cover the following key areas: biological and chemical ingredients, medical equipment, pharmaceutical fillers and packages, equipment and apparatus for pharmaceutical production. This is expected to reduce the dependence of Ukrainian pharmaceutics on imports and eliminate the problem of “truncated industrialization” that can cause structural imbalances, worsen the balance of payments and weaken the national currency.
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欧盟新成员国的制药工业:与德国的统计比较。乌克兰的经验教训
药品生产是欧盟经济的一个战略性部门。2004年成为欧盟成员的中欧和东欧国家当局一直在建立国内制药工业,一方面用于生产和分销医疗药品和医疗产品,另一方面用于政府对商业实体和公共采购的援助。本文的目的是评估波兰、匈牙利和捷克加入欧盟后制药行业经济绩效的变化,与欧盟制药生产的领导者德国进行比较统计分析,揭示中东欧国家制药行业发展的关键问题,以便为乌克兰拟定关于推广最佳做法和避免潜在风险的建议。研究结果表明,中东欧国家的制药商(第54组SITC Rev.4)一直主要关注欧盟市场,德国是其主要合作伙伴。加入欧盟后,中东欧国家的高科技医药产品营业额显著增长,这些产品的进口大幅增长,贸易负平衡不断增加。中东欧国家的制药公司可以提高工资和表面劳动生产率,但它们与德国在工资和生产率方面的差距仍然太大。在所研究的中东欧国家中,药物研发支出显著增加,但与欧盟(16.1%)和德国(25.6%)的平均数字相比,其估计份额仍然很低。事实证明,由于欧洲共同体和乌克兰之间正在谈判的未来工业产品合格评定和验收协议(ACAA协议,或“工业免签证制度”),将覆盖制药行业,只有考虑到该行业巩固的内生能力和稳固的本地化优势,乌克兰制药公司才能获得利益,这为欧洲公司在乌克兰建立生产设施和研发中心(包括基于合同的研发和生产中心)提供了刺激。事实证明,来自欧洲制药公司的投资和技术流入能够加速MD和MP的生产启动和出口(因为不需要浪费时间来建立链的所有环节),从而增加乌克兰生产商的资产(通过知识和技能转让),但所有这些都无法弥补国内旨在创造该行业有形和无形资产的努力。鉴于其欧洲一体化背景,乌克兰需要推行提高行业内生能力的政策,并依靠全面的方法(而不是专注于MD和MP),该方法将涵盖以下关键领域:生物和化学成分、医疗设备、药品填充物和包装、药品生产设备和仪器。预计这将减少乌克兰制药对进口的依赖,并消除可能导致结构性失衡、国际收支恶化和国家货币贬值的“截断工业化”问题。
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12 weeks
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