Evaluation of Transboundary Water Resource Development in Mekong River Basin: The Application of Analytic Hierarchy Process in the Context of Water Cooperation

Nguyen Thi Phuong Lan
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Abstract

Mekong River is one of the major international freshwater sources in the world. The Lower Mekong Basin (LMB) comprised of four downstream countries, including Thailand, Lao PDR, Cambodia, and Vietnam. The utilization of the basin’s water brings not only substantial benefits to the region ranging from hydropower to navigation, but also negative impacts caused by the unbalanced water using. The essential role of Mekong River requires all member nations to cooperate effectively for the sustainable development of the region. One of the most popular methods in the field of water resource management is a trustable tool called the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP). AHP is much appropriate for water resource policymaking. The literature, however, points out that there is no study to both structure the water using hierarchy and employ quantitative (objective) criteria to the AHP model in LMB case. With regard to water resource management, there are no previous studies applying AHP models to evaluating sustainable development of transboundary water resource in LMB case. This paper explores the evolution of water cooperation among Mekong countries and subsequently evaluates the water development scenarios in the LMB based on the water cooperation preferences of four LMB countries This study proposes a novel approach to analyzing, assessing water resource development scenarios characterized by sustainability indicators and to assisting in developing a suitable water policy in LMB according to the best cooperation scenario.
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湄公河流域跨界水资源开发评价:层次分析法在水资源合作背景下的应用
湄公河是世界上主要的国际淡水资源之一。湄公河下游流域由四个下游国家组成,包括泰国、老挝、柬埔寨和越南。流域水资源的利用不仅给该地区带来了从水电到航运的巨大利益,而且也带来了用水不平衡带来的负面影响。湄公河的重要作用要求所有成员国为该地区的可持续发展进行有效合作。水资源管理领域最流行的方法之一是一种可靠的工具,称为层次分析法(AHP)。AHP非常适合水资源决策。然而,文献指出,在LMB的情况下,还没有对用水层次结构和AHP模型采用定量(客观)标准进行研究。关于水资源管理,以前没有研究将AHP模型应用于LMB案例中跨界水资源可持续发展的评估。本文探讨了湄公河国家间水合作的演变,并随后基于四个湄公河流域国家的水合作偏好评估了湄公河流域的水开发情景。本研究提出了一种新的分析方法,评估以可持续性指标为特征的水资源开发情景,并根据最佳合作情景协助LMB制定适当的水政策。
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