Electoral Behavior of Iranians and the Factors of the Reduction of Electoral Participation During the Corona Pandemic (2020–2021)

Mahdi Naderi, Shohreh Pirani
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Abstract

Abstract COVID-19 pandemic has had different effects on election participation. Participation in the parliamentary (2020) and presidential (2021) elections under the pandemic has declined significantly compared to the last four decades. Contrary to popular belief, the findings show that this declined has been caused by causal conditions (economic downturn and government’s inefficiency), contextual conditions (economic war and sanctions), and interventional conditions, and COVID-19 pandemic has played an only contextual role. Prior to the COVID19 pandemic, Iranians were dissatisfied with the current situation, mainly internal rather than external, due to the disruption of the economy and living conditions. Therefore, election participation during the pandemic was a good opportunity to show the magnitude of the dissatisfaction. It can be said that the role of economic factors and the government’s inefficiency in discouraging election participation in Iran has been more than political, social, and health factors.
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新冠疫情期间伊朗人的选举行为及选举参与率下降的因素(2020-2021年)
摘要新冠肺炎大流行对选举参与产生了不同的影响。与过去四十年相比,疫情期间参加议会(2020年)和总统(2021年)选举的人数大幅下降。与普遍的看法相反,研究结果表明,这种下降是由因果条件(经济衰退和政府效率低下)、背景条件(经济战争和制裁)和干预条件造成的,而新冠肺炎大流行只起到了背景作用。在新冠肺炎疫情之前,由于经济和生活条件的破坏,伊朗人对当前局势感到不满,主要是内部而非外部。因此,在疫情期间参加选举是一个很好的机会,可以表明不满的程度。可以说,经济因素和政府效率低下在阻碍伊朗参与选举方面的作用不仅仅是政治、社会和健康因素。
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