China policy on Taiwan against the backdrop of the Russia-Ukraine War

IF 6.3 2区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Foreign Affairs Pub Date : 2023-03-02 DOI:10.46493/2663-2675.33(1).2023.24-31
A. Hrubinko, Iryna Fedoriv
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Abstract

The relevance of the study is conditioned by the transformational trends in globalisation policy as a result of russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, especially in the political relations of the People’s Republic of China with Taiwan, which is one of the most important aspects of international security. The purpose of the study is to identify the characteristic features of the Taiwan issue. The following methodological approaches were used: functional, dogmatic, logical analysis, synthesis, deduction, method of legal hermeneutics, etc. The study found that political relations between China and Taiwan are largely determined by the party affiliation of the latter’s leadership. Parallels were drawn between China-Taiwan and russia-Ukraine relations, which are associated with the asymmetry of relations between the two countries. It was found that the russia-Ukraine war serves as a factor that will have a further impact on the development and resolution of the conflict between Taiwan and China. The possibility of resolving the China-Taiwan war will depend on the results of the russia-Ukraine war and the reaction of the international community, especially the United States of America, which is Taiwan’s main ally. The study results showed that the factor that will help reduce the likelihood of China’s intervention against Taiwan is Ukraine’s victory in the russia-Ukraine war; another factor is the active role of the international community in countering russian aggression If the United States and Europe take a passive stance, this will act as a factor that will increase the tension between China and Taiwan The practical value of the findings allows for a causal analysis of the Taiwan issue and the identification of possible solutions to the conflict against the backdrop of the russia-Ukraine war
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俄乌战争背景下的中国对台湾政策
这项研究的相关性取决于俄罗斯全面入侵乌克兰所导致的全球化政策的转型趋势,特别是中华人民共和国与台湾的政治关系,这是国际安全最重要的方面之一。本研究的目的在于找出台湾问题的特征。运用了以下方法论:功能分析、教条分析、逻辑分析、综合分析、演绎分析、法律解释学方法等。研究发现,大陆和台湾的政治关系在很大程度上取决于台湾领导人所属的政党。有人将中国与台湾的关系与俄罗斯与乌克兰的关系相提并论,这与两国关系的不对称有关。研究发现,俄乌战争是影响台湾与中国冲突发展与解决的因素之一。解决中国-台湾战争的可能性将取决于俄罗斯-乌克兰战争的结果和国际社会的反应,特别是作为台湾主要盟友的美国。研究结果显示,降低中国干预台湾可能性的因素是乌克兰在俄乌战争中的胜利;另一个因素是国际社会在对抗俄罗斯侵略方面的积极作用,如果美国和欧洲采取被动立场,这将成为增加中国与台湾之间紧张关系的一个因素。研究结果的实用价值允许对台湾问题进行因果分析,并在俄乌战争的背景下确定冲突的可能解决方案
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来源期刊
Foreign Affairs
Foreign Affairs INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS-
CiteScore
4.80
自引率
0.00%
发文量
2
期刊介绍: Founded in 1922, Foreign Affairs is a prominent American magazine that focuses on international relations and U.S. foreign policy. It is published by the Council on Foreign Relations, an esteemed nonpartisan think tank and membership organization dedicated to analyzing U.S. foreign policy and global affairs. While the print magazine is released every two months, the website offers daily articles and publishes anthologies every other month.
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