Long Shadows of Financial Shocks: An Endogenous Growth Perspective

M. Bielecki
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Abstract

The Great Recession has resulted in a seemingly permanent level shift in many macroeconomic variables. This paper presents a microfounded general equilibrium model featuring frictional labor markets and financial frictions that generates procyclical R&D expenditures and replicates business cycle features of establishment dynamics. This allows demonstrating the channels through which productivity and financial shocks influence the aggregate endogenous growth rate of the economy, creating level shifts in its balanced growth path. I find that financial shocks are an important driver of the aggregate fluctuations and their influence is especially pronounced for establishment entry. Since the growth rate of the economy can in principle be affected by policy measures, I examine the macroeconomic and welfare effects of applying several subsidy schemes.
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金融冲击的长阴影:内生增长的视角
大衰退导致许多宏观经济变量出现了看似永久性的水平变化。本文提出了一个以劳动力市场摩擦和金融摩擦为特征的微观广义均衡模型,该模型产生了顺周期的研发支出,并复制了企业动态的商业周期特征。这使得我们能够展示生产力和金融冲击影响经济总内生增长率的渠道,从而在其平衡增长道路上创造水平变化。我发现,金融冲击是总波动的重要驱动力,它们对进入机构的影响尤其明显。由于经济增长率原则上会受到政策措施的影响,我研究了实施几种补贴计划对宏观经济和福利的影响。
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发文量
18
审稿时长
24 weeks
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