Prognostic Factor Predicting Severity of COVID-19: Narrative Review

Nasrin Milani, M. R. R. Zahmatkesh, S. Soleimanpour, Z. Mirfeizi
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Abstract

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), which has spread to many countries, is so severe that it progresses rapidly to acute respiratory failure. Therefore, in our paper, we aimed to describe and evaluate the most practical laboratory pro-inflammatory factors to predict the course of severe COVID-19 cases.Given the physiopathology of COVID-19 and the consequent immune system hyperactivity, we started to investigate the background pathology of these occurrences aiming to find the prognostic laboratory factors in COVID-19 cases. All reviews focused on the potential cellular and molecular mechanisms causing the cytokine storm in viral diseases, and several studies approved applicable laboratory parameters for COVID-19 patients. Based on our data, increased CRP level, LDH, serum ferritin, creatine kinase (CK), higher D-dimer and FDP levels, IL-6, cardiac troponin I and longer PT can be potential markers for predicting the course of infection; particularly, D-dimer, which was elevated to five times the original count in severe cases. Apart from that, the severe cases showed lymphopenia, neutrophilia, thrombocytopenia, and prolonged PTT. However, there was contradictory evidence about AST, ALT, BUN, and serum creatinine.The major cause of COVID-19 in critical patients was a cytokine storm; therefore, prognostic factors in the cytokine storm can also predict the prognosis of COVID-19. Thus, severe cases can be solved by early detection of these laboratory parameters.
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预测COVID-19严重程度的预后因素:叙述性综述
已经蔓延到许多国家的2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)非常严重,可以迅速发展为急性呼吸衰竭。因此,在我们的论文中,我们旨在描述和评估最实用的实验室促炎因子,以预测COVID-19重症病例的病程。鉴于COVID-19的生理病理和随之而来的免疫系统亢进,我们开始调查这些事件的背景病理学,旨在找到COVID-19病例预后的实验室因素。所有综述都集中在病毒性疾病中引起细胞因子风暴的潜在细胞和分子机制上,并且有几项研究批准了适用于COVID-19患者的实验室参数。根据我们的数据,升高的CRP水平、LDH、血清铁蛋白、肌酸激酶(CK)、较高的d -二聚体和FDP水平、IL-6、心肌肌钙蛋白I和较长的PT可以作为预测感染进程的潜在标志物;特别是d -二聚体,在严重的情况下,它的数量会增加到原来的五倍。严重者表现为淋巴细胞减少、中性粒细胞增多、血小板减少、PTT延长。然而,在AST、ALT、BUN和血清肌酐方面存在矛盾的证据。危重患者发生新冠肺炎的主要原因是细胞因子风暴;因此,细胞因子风暴中的预后因子也可以预测COVID-19的预后。因此,可以通过早期发现这些实验室参数来解决严重病例。
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