Assessing conservation potential of streams for Spikedace and Loach Minnow using species distribution modeling

IF 0.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q4 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Journal of Fish and Wildlife Management Pub Date : 2022-05-04 DOI:10.3996/jfwm-21-093
Brian Hickerson, Evan C. J. Booher, Elizabeth R. Grube, A. Robinson
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Identifying, evaluating, and prioritizing freshwater systems for conservation is a persistent challenge for managers tasked with conservation and recovery of native fishes. We used historical records from the Gila River basin, the national hydrography dataset, and Random Forest modeling to predict probability of Spikedace Meda fulgida and Loach Minnow Rhinichthys cobitis occurrence throughout their range in the Gila River basin. Models for both species performed moderately well, with relatively high predicted probability of occurrence at streams with historical records. Predicted probability of occurrence was also relatively high in several streams without historical records of focal species, suggesting that there are unoccupied reaches throughout the Gila River basin with similar environmental conditions to historically occupied reaches for both species. Unoccupied reaches with the highest predicted probability of occurrence may have a greater chance of supporting translocated populations of focal species. Our results can be used as a first step for locating reaches most likely to support translocated populations of Spikedace and Loach Minnow within their respective historical ranges. Our approach may be applicable to other species of conservation concern with available historic records in need of population restoration.
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利用物种分布模型评估棘鱼和泥鳅溪流的保护潜力
对于负责本地鱼类保护和恢复的管理人员来说,识别、评估和优先考虑淡水系统的保护是一项持续的挑战。我们使用吉拉河流域的历史记录、国家水文数据集和随机森林模型来预测吉拉河盆地内Spikedace Meda fulgida和Loach Minnow Rhinchethys cobitis在其整个范围内发生的概率。这两个物种的模型都表现得相当好,在有历史记录的溪流中出现的预测概率相对较高。在没有重点物种历史记录的几条溪流中,预测的发生概率也相对较高,这表明整个吉拉河流域都有未被占用的河段,其环境条件与这两种物种的历史被占用河段相似。预测发生概率最高的未占用河段可能有更大的机会支持转移的重点物种种群。我们的结果可以作为定位最有可能支持Spikedace和Loach Minnow在各自历史范围内迁移种群的河段的第一步。我们的方法可能适用于其他受保护的物种,这些物种有可用的历史记录,需要种群恢复。
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来源期刊
Journal of Fish and Wildlife Management
Journal of Fish and Wildlife Management BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION-ECOLOGY
CiteScore
1.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
43
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Journal of Fish and Wildlife Management encourages submission of original, high quality, English-language scientific papers on the practical application and integration of science to conservation and management of native North American fish, wildlife, plants and their habitats in the following categories: Articles, Notes, Surveys and Issues and Perspectives. Papers that do not relate directly to native North American fish, wildlife plants or their habitats may be considered if they highlight species that are closely related to, or conservation issues that are germane to, those in North America.
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