Kısa Zamanlı Trafik Tahmini ile Devre Süresi Optimizasyonu ve Gecikme Analizi

IF 0.8 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Teknik Dergi Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI:10.18400/TEKDERG.713080
Ravza Nur Yiğit, Soner Haldenbilen
{"title":"Kısa Zamanlı Trafik Tahmini ile Devre Süresi Optimizasyonu ve Gecikme Analizi","authors":"Ravza Nur Yiğit, Soner Haldenbilen","doi":"10.18400/TEKDERG.713080","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Calismada akilli ulasim sistemleri icin parametrik ve parametrik olmayan tahmin yontemlerin kisa zamanli trafik tahmin performanslari incelenmis ve tahmin degerlerinin sinyalize kavsaklarin devre suresine ve performansina olan etkisi arastirilmistir. Kavsakta gozlemlenen trafik verilerine bagli olarak gecikme surelerinin iyilestirmesi ve kavsak bekleme surelerinin azaltilarak, kavsak performans iyilestirmesi amaclanmistir. Calisma bolgesi olarak Denizli ilinde yer alan Mimar Sinan kavsagi secilmistir. Kavsagin yaklasim kollarinda bulunan sensorler yardimiyla elde edilen veriler, veri setleri olarak duzenlenmistir. Oto-regresif entegre hareketli ortalama (Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average-ARIMA) ve yapay sinir aglari (YSA) yontemleri ile kisa zamanli trafik tahminleri yapilmistir. Tahmin sonuclari Webster yontemi kullanilarak kavsak devre suresi optimizasyonu yapilmistir. Optimum devre suresi ve yesil sureleri hesaplandiktan sonra Webster gecikme metodu ile kavsak yaklasim kollarinin ve kavsak genelinin gecikme degerleri hem ARIMA yonteminden elde edilen hem de YSA yonteminden elde edilen tahmin sonuclari karsilastirilmistir. Kisa zamanli trafik tahmininde YSA yonteminin ARIMA yontemine gore daha basarili oldugu gorulmustur.","PeriodicalId":49442,"journal":{"name":"Teknik Dergi","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.8000,"publicationDate":"2021-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"2","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Teknik Dergi","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.18400/TEKDERG.713080","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"ENGINEERING, CIVIL","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2

Abstract

Calismada akilli ulasim sistemleri icin parametrik ve parametrik olmayan tahmin yontemlerin kisa zamanli trafik tahmin performanslari incelenmis ve tahmin degerlerinin sinyalize kavsaklarin devre suresine ve performansina olan etkisi arastirilmistir. Kavsakta gozlemlenen trafik verilerine bagli olarak gecikme surelerinin iyilestirmesi ve kavsak bekleme surelerinin azaltilarak, kavsak performans iyilestirmesi amaclanmistir. Calisma bolgesi olarak Denizli ilinde yer alan Mimar Sinan kavsagi secilmistir. Kavsagin yaklasim kollarinda bulunan sensorler yardimiyla elde edilen veriler, veri setleri olarak duzenlenmistir. Oto-regresif entegre hareketli ortalama (Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average-ARIMA) ve yapay sinir aglari (YSA) yontemleri ile kisa zamanli trafik tahminleri yapilmistir. Tahmin sonuclari Webster yontemi kullanilarak kavsak devre suresi optimizasyonu yapilmistir. Optimum devre suresi ve yesil sureleri hesaplandiktan sonra Webster gecikme metodu ile kavsak yaklasim kollarinin ve kavsak genelinin gecikme degerleri hem ARIMA yonteminden elde edilen hem de YSA yonteminden elde edilen tahmin sonuclari karsilastirilmistir. Kisa zamanli trafik tahmininde YSA yonteminin ARIMA yontemine gore daha basarili oldugu gorulmustur.
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
基于短期交通猜测的方向优化与过渡分析
calismus中非参数和非参数输入系统的概率是分析短期交通预测性能,以及对获得估计点信号的人的圆表面和性能的影响。在高加索地区交通受损的情况下,旨在改善延迟图像,减少预期图像并提高性能。Mimar Sinan的战场位于海边,被称为Calisma。Kavsagin-yaklasim臂中的传感器可以在数据的帮助下获得,数据集可以是duzenlenmist。自回归综合移动平均ARIMA和人工神经节点(YSA)的同时传输预测。Tahmin sonuclari Webster yontemi kullanilarak kavsak devre suresi optimizaonu yapilmistir。在计算出最佳圆形图像和原材料后,韦伯斯特延迟方法将降低ARIMA化合物和YSA化合物对燃烧臂的预测效果和一般群体的延迟率。在短期交通量估计中,YSA的ARIMA浓度估计高于此。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
求助全文
约1分钟内获得全文 去求助
来源期刊
Teknik Dergi
Teknik Dergi 工程技术-工程:土木
自引率
30.80%
发文量
65
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The scope of Teknik Dergi is naturally confined with the subjects falling in the area of civil engineering. However, the area of civil engineering has recently been significantly enlarged, even the definition of civil engineering has somewhat changed. Half a century ago, engineering was simply defined as “the art of using and converting the natural resources for the benefit of the mankind”. Today, the same objective is expected to be realised (i) by complying with the desire and expectations of the people concerned and (ii) without wasting the resources and within the sustainability principles. This change has required an interaction between engineering and social and administrative sciences. Some subjects at the borderline between civil engineering and social and administrative sciences have consequently been included in the area of civil engineering. Teknik Dergi defines its scope in line with this understanding. However, it requires the papers falling in the borderline to have a significant component of civil engineering.
期刊最新文献
Scheduling, Management and Optimization of Construction Process A Downscaling Application for Local Meteorological Variables of Eastern Black Sea Basin and Scenario Based Predictions Developing a Performance-Based Payment Model in Urban Public Transport Systems Evaluation of Occupational Safety in the Operation and Maintenance Activities of Dams Determination of Finite Element Modelling Errors for Box Culverts Using Field Load Tests
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1