The Effect of Company’s Fundamental, Market Return and Macroeconomic to Stock Return: A Case Study of Consumer Goods Companies Listed in BEI Period 2009-2018

IF 0.5 Q4 BUSINESS International Journal of Business Pub Date : 2020-10-31 DOI:10.32924/ijbs.v4i3.115
Juliana Thamrin, Roy Sembel
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

The aim of this study was to understand whether the company’s fundamental factors through liquidity ratio, asset management ratio, profitability ratio, debt management ratio and market value ratio, specifically represented by current ratio, Total Assets Turnover (TATO), Return on Assets (ROA), Debt to Equity ratio (DER) and Earnings per Share (EPS) yield; market return and macroeconomic factors (Gross Domestic Product, interest rate, exchange rate) affect the stock return of Consumer Goods companies’ listed in BEI period 2009-2018. There were various former studies did to correlate stock return with financial ratios or macroeconomic partially. This study was done to understand the effect of the stock return with both company’s factors and macroeconomic factors, partially and simultaneously. This study used quantitative approach, in the area of Consumer Goods companies listed in BEI during period of the research, covering 23 companies that represented 84% of Consumer Goods market capitalization. The methodology being used was data panel regression using Common Effect Model, through 886 observations. The results were (1) partially, TATO, EPS yield, market return and exchange rate affected the stock return (2) simultaneously company’s fundamental, market return and macroeconomic affected the stock return. This means in consumer sector, investors put attention on asset management, earnings yield, market condition and macroeconomic. Therefore, the author recommended that many extended researches can be done on the financial ratios, market return and macroeconomic, using different variable, especially due to TATO affect the stock return while conversely ROA and DER were not.
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公司基本面、市场收益和宏观经济对股票收益的影响——以2009-2018年BEI期消费品上市公司为例
本研究的目的是通过流动性比率、资产管理比率、盈利能力比率、债务管理比率和市值比率来了解公司的基本因素,具体表现为流动比率、总资产周转率、资产回报率、负债权益比率和每股收益率;2009-2018年期间,市场回报和宏观经济因素(国内生产总值、利率、汇率)影响了BEI上市消费品公司的股票回报。以前有各种研究将股票回报与财务比率或宏观经济部分相关。本研究旨在部分和同时了解股票收益率与公司因素和宏观经济因素的影响。本研究采用定量方法,在研究期间,在BEI上市的消费品公司领域,涵盖了23家公司,占消费品市场资本的84%。所使用的方法是通过886次观察,使用共同效应模型进行数据面板回归。研究结果表明:(1)TATO、每股收益率、市场收益率和汇率部分影响股票收益;(2)公司基本面、市场收益和宏观经济同时影响股票收益。这意味着在消费领域,投资者关注资产管理、收益率、市场状况和宏观经济。因此,作者建议可以使用不同的变量对财务比率、市场回报率和宏观经济进行许多扩展研究,特别是由于TATO影响股票回报率,而ROA和DER则相反。
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