Can satellite-retrieved data increase farmers' willingness to insure against drought? – Insights from Germany

IF 6.1 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Agricultural Systems Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI:10.1016/j.agsy.2023.103718
Eike Florenz Nordmeyer , Michael Danne , Oliver Musshoff
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Abstract

CONTEXT

As the demand for index insurance in Europe remains low, the use of satellite-retrieved data has received considerable research attention because it can reduce the basis risk, increase hedging effectiveness and thus potentially increase the attractiveness of index insurance to farmers. However, there is limited knowledge on farmers' demand and specific preferences for satellite-based index insurance.

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to obtain initial insights into farmers' preferences for satellite-based index insurance. In particular, farmers' overall preferences for satellite-based compared to precipitation-based index insurance are investigated. The objective is further deepened by investigating the effect of partially subsidizing index insurance. Finally, we focus on differences in preferences caused by the farmer's individual specific factors as this allows to identify the potential target groups for satellite-based index insurance.

METHODS

As satellite-based index insurance is still hard to find in Europe, a discrete choice experiment has been conducted with 127 German farmers. In a hypothetical scenario, farmers had to choose whether or not to insure themselves against drought by purchasing hypothetical index insurance products. Specifically, based on a labeled design, they had to choose between a satellite-based and a precipitation-based index insurance, or could choose not to use either alternative (opt-out). We include other insurance attributes such as premium, strike level and payout as they were rated as important by the farmers.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSION

Mixed logit model results show a preference for both index insurance products against no insurance. Particularly, the average farmer has a statistically significant higher preference for the satellite-based index insurance. In addition, subsidizing satellite-based index insurance has a higher effect on farmers' preferences. Moreover, the latent class model identifies heterogeneous preferences among farmers. Insurers can be advised to incorporate satellite data into the design of index insurance. By integrating them into existing index insurance products or by developing purely satellite-based index insurance, insurers could tailor index insurance better to farmers' preferences. Policymakers can be advised that farmers are differentially sensitive to subsidies. Especially farmers with a stronger preference for the satellite-based index insurance derive a huge increase in utility from subsidies.

SIGNIFICANCE

The study provides initial insights into farmers' preferences for satellite-based index insurance that can guide insurers regarding the design of index insurance products and give policymakers insights into how governmental support would change farmers' demand for index insurance.

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卫星数据能提高农民投保抗旱保险的意愿吗?——来自德国的见解
由于欧洲对指数保险的需求仍然很低,卫星检索数据的使用受到了相当大的研究关注,因为它可以降低基差风险,提高套期保值的有效性,从而可能增加指数保险对农民的吸引力。然而,关于农民对卫星指数保险的需求和具体偏好的了解有限。目的本研究旨在初步了解农民对卫星指数保险的偏好。特别是,调查了农民对基于卫星的指数保险与基于降水的指数保险的总体偏好。通过调查部分补贴指数保险的效果,进一步深化了这一目标。最后,我们关注农民个人特定因素导致的偏好差异,因为这可以确定基于卫星的指数保险的潜在目标群体。方法基于卫星的指数保险在欧洲仍然很难找到,已经对127名德国农民进行了离散选择实验。在一个假设的场景中,农民必须通过购买假设的指数保险产品来选择是否为自己投保干旱。具体来说,基于标签设计,他们必须在基于卫星和基于降水的指数保险之间做出选择,或者可以选择不使用任何一种替代方案(选择退出)。我们包括其他保险属性,如保费、罢工水平和支出,因为它们被农民评为重要。结果与结论混合logit模型结果显示,相对于无保险,两种指数保险产品更受青睐。特别是,从统计数据来看,普通农民对卫星指数保险的偏好更高。此外,补贴卫星指数保险对农民偏好的影响更大。此外,潜在阶级模型识别了农民之间的异质偏好。可以建议保险公司将卫星数据纳入指数保险的设计中。通过将其整合到现有的指数保险产品中,或通过开发纯粹基于卫星的指数保险,保险公司可以更好地根据农民的偏好定制指数保险。政策制定者可以被告知,农民对补贴的敏感性不同。尤其是对基于卫星的指数保险有更强烈偏好的农民,他们从补贴中获得了巨大的效用增长。重要意义该研究为农民对基于卫星的指数保险的偏好提供了初步见解,可以指导保险公司设计指数保险产品,并让决策者深入了解政府支持将如何改变农民对指数保险的需求。
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来源期刊
Agricultural Systems
Agricultural Systems 农林科学-农业综合
CiteScore
13.30
自引率
7.60%
发文量
174
审稿时长
30 days
期刊介绍: Agricultural Systems is an international journal that deals with interactions - among the components of agricultural systems, among hierarchical levels of agricultural systems, between agricultural and other land use systems, and between agricultural systems and their natural, social and economic environments. The scope includes the development and application of systems analysis methodologies in the following areas: Systems approaches in the sustainable intensification of agriculture; pathways for sustainable intensification; crop-livestock integration; farm-level resource allocation; quantification of benefits and trade-offs at farm to landscape levels; integrative, participatory and dynamic modelling approaches for qualitative and quantitative assessments of agricultural systems and decision making; The interactions between agricultural and non-agricultural landscapes; the multiple services of agricultural systems; food security and the environment; Global change and adaptation science; transformational adaptations as driven by changes in climate, policy, values and attitudes influencing the design of farming systems; Development and application of farming systems design tools and methods for impact, scenario and case study analysis; managing the complexities of dynamic agricultural systems; innovation systems and multi stakeholder arrangements that support or promote change and (or) inform policy decisions.
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