{"title":"Modelling player ratings in one day international cricket using the modified Duckworth-Lewis method","authors":"M. Asif, M. Yousaf","doi":"10.1093/imaman/dpad014","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"\n We present a player rating system for One-Day International (ODI) cricket using the Modified Duckworth-Lewis (MDL) model. We used ball-by-ball data of 1764 uninterrupted ODI matches played from Jan-2004 to Jun-2021 to estimate model parameters. The proposed method is then used to rate players who appeared in the ICC Men’s World Cup 2019. The method is novel because the rating depends on the state of the match, so that pressure and non-pressure situations are accounted for. The method also considers a pitch effect (high or low run scoring). Moreover, batsman performance can be compared to all-rounder and bowling performances. The results rate Shakib Al Hassan of Bangladesh as the tournament’s best player, followed by RG Sharma (India) and JJ Roy (England).","PeriodicalId":56296,"journal":{"name":"IMA Journal of Management Mathematics","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3000,"publicationDate":"2023-08-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"IMA Journal of Management Mathematics","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1093/imaman/dpad014","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"MANAGEMENT","Score":null,"Total":0}
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Abstract
We present a player rating system for One-Day International (ODI) cricket using the Modified Duckworth-Lewis (MDL) model. We used ball-by-ball data of 1764 uninterrupted ODI matches played from Jan-2004 to Jun-2021 to estimate model parameters. The proposed method is then used to rate players who appeared in the ICC Men’s World Cup 2019. The method is novel because the rating depends on the state of the match, so that pressure and non-pressure situations are accounted for. The method also considers a pitch effect (high or low run scoring). Moreover, batsman performance can be compared to all-rounder and bowling performances. The results rate Shakib Al Hassan of Bangladesh as the tournament’s best player, followed by RG Sharma (India) and JJ Roy (England).
期刊介绍：
The mission of this quarterly journal is to publish mathematical research of the highest quality, impact and relevance that can be directly utilised or have demonstrable potential to be employed by managers in profit, not-for-profit, third party and governmental/public organisations to improve their practices. Thus the research must be quantitative and of the highest quality if it is to be published in the journal. Furthermore, the outcome of the research must be ultimately useful for managers. The journal also publishes novel meta-analyses of the literature, reviews of the "state-of-the art" in a manner that provides new insight, and genuine applications of mathematics to real-world problems in the form of case studies. The journal welcomes papers dealing with topics in Operational Research and Management Science, Operations Management, Decision Sciences, Transportation Science, Marketing Science, Analytics, and Financial and Risk Modelling.
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