A prototype regional stock-flow consistent model

IF 1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Metroeconomica Pub Date : 2022-12-07 DOI:10.1111/meca.12416
Francesco Zezza, Gennaro Zezza
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Abstract

When considering a regional context, most adjusting mechanisms at work in open economy Stock-Flow Consistent models—such as exchange rate movements, or changes in interest on public debt—are not present, as they are in control of “external” authorities. So, how does a regional system with “current account” imbalances adjust? To answer this question, we adapt the framework suggested in Godley-Lavoie (2007a) to consider two regions that share the same monetary, fiscal, and exchange rate policies. The model—loosely calibrated over Italian data, with the introduction of a fragmented labour market—replicates some key features of the Italian economy, and sheds light on the interactions between financial and real markets in regional economies.

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一个原型区域库存-流量一致模型
从怀恩·戈德利(1999;Godley和Lavoie 2005, 2007a, 2007b),采用两个或两个以上国家的股票流量一致性(SFC)模型的文献已经蓬勃发展,表明始终考虑两个开放经济体的实体和金融市场将产生不同的结果相对于更传统的开放经济模型。然而,很少有人(如果有的话)对同一个国家的两个地区进行了建模,我们的论文旨在填补这一空白。在考虑区域背景时,开放经济模式中起作用的大多数调整机制——如汇率变动或公共债务利息的变化——根本不存在,因为它们由“外部”当局控制。那么,是什么调节机制在起作用呢?为了回答这个问题,我们采用Godley和Lavoie (2007a)提出的框架来考虑两个拥有相同货币、财政和汇率政策的地区。我们根据意大利的数据粗略地校准了我们的模型,意大利南部(Mezzogiorno)的实际人均收入水平和增长率都低于北部。我们还引入了一个分散的劳动力市场,因为在南方灰心丧气的工人将搬到北方,希望找到通勤工作。我们的模型复制了意大利经济的一些关键特征,并揭示了“经常账户”失衡的地区经济体中金融市场与实体市场之间的相互作用。
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来源期刊
Metroeconomica
Metroeconomica ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
2.40
自引率
15.40%
发文量
43
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