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Public Investment and Economic Growth in a Three Sector Open Economy With an Infrastructure Constraint 基础设施约束下三部门开放经济中的公共投资与经济增长
IF 0.9 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-06-12 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12504
Raul Zelada-Aprili

This paper presents a structuralist economic model of growth and distribution in an open, three sector economy with an infrastructure constraint and deficient aggregate demand where the government sector captures the rents (in the Ricardian sense) originated in an enclave sector such as an oil/gas or mineral sector. The model seeks to explore the ways by which these constraints determine the growth rate and the distribution of income. The model shows that once the fiscal constraint is overcome - which translates itself into an increase in public investment in infrastructure - and the sectoral supply bottlenecks gradually eased, simultaneous increases in employment, real wages and growth become attainable.

本文提出了一个结构主义的增长和分配经济模型,在一个开放的三部门经济中,基础设施受到限制,总需求不足,其中政府部门捕获了来自飞地部门(如石油/天然气或矿产部门)的租金(在李嘉图意义上)。该模型试图探索这些制约因素决定增长率和收入分配的方式。该模型表明,一旦克服了财政限制(这将转化为对基础设施的公共投资增加),部门供应瓶颈逐渐缓解,就业、实际工资和增长的同时增加就可以实现。
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引用次数: 0
Kaldor, Hicks and Goodwin Meet the Supermultiplier: On Growth Cycles and Autonomous Demand 卡尔多、希克斯和古德温满足超级乘数:关于增长周期和自主需求
IF 0.9 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-06-02 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12503
Ettore Gallo

This paper presents an approach to reconciling short-run business cycles with long-run growth in macroeconomic models. It addresses recent criticisms of supermultiplier models by developing a framework that combines investment-driven cycles with autonomous demand-led growth in the long run. The model builds on endogenous business cycle theories, incorporating a nonlinear accelerator mechanism and a dynamic multiplier to generate persistent cycles. By extending this canonical model to include growing autonomous demand, the paper demonstrates how persistent cyclical fluctuations in the rate of capacity utilization can coexist with a long-run growth trend in output determined by autonomous demand. This integration of short-run dynamics and long-run growth aims to bridge the gap between traditional business cycle theories and modern growth models, providing a unified trend-cum-cycle framework. The paper contributes to the ongoing debate on the role of autonomous components of aggregate demand in shaping economic outcomes and offers a framework for further research on the interplay between cyclical fluctuations and trend growth.

本文提出了一种在宏观经济模型中调和短期商业周期与长期增长的方法。它通过建立一个框架,将投资驱动周期与长期自主需求驱动增长结合起来,解决了最近对超乘数模型的批评。该模型以内生经济周期理论为基础,结合非线性加速机制和动态乘数产生持续周期。通过将该标准模型扩展到包括不断增长的自主需求,本文证明了产能利用率的持续周期性波动如何与由自主需求决定的产出的长期增长趋势共存。这种短期动态与长期增长的整合旨在弥合传统经济周期理论与现代增长模型之间的差距,提供统一的趋势-周期框架。这篇论文有助于目前关于总需求的自主组成部分在形成经济结果方面的作用的辩论,并为进一步研究周期性波动与趋势增长之间的相互作用提供了一个框架。
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引用次数: 0
Automation, Economic Growth, and the Income Distribution in a Two-Class Economy 自动化、经济增长和两阶级经济中的收入分配
IF 0.9 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-05-30 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12502
Shogo Ogawa, Takefumi Hagiwara, Thu Giang Huong Pham, Noriki Fukatani, Naoto Okahara, Hiroaki Sasaki

This study presents a growth model with automation technology to consider two classes, workers and capitalists, and investigates how the existence of automation capital affects economic growth and the income distribution. In addition to the two production factors, labor and traditional capital, we consider automation capital as a third production factor. We also introduce Pasinetti-type saving functions into the model to investigate how the difference between the savings rates of capitalists and workers affects economic growth and the income distribution. We find that when the savings rate of capitalists is above a threshold level, per capita output exhibits endogenous growth irrespective of the savings rate of workers. In this case, the income gap between workers and capitalists widens over time. By contrast, when the savings rate of capitalists is below the threshold level, two long-run states occur depending on the savings rate of workers: the share of automation capital of capitalists approaches either a constant or zero. In both cases, per capita output growth is zero and the income gap between the two classes becomes constant over time. We additionally show that the introduction of a redistribution policy that imposes a robot tax on capitalists can narrow the income gap between workers and capitalists. However, this income redistribution policy lowers per capita output growth. Therefore, there is a trade-off between equality and growth.

本文提出了一个包含自动化技术的增长模型,考虑了工人和资本家两个阶层,并探讨了自动化资本的存在如何影响经济增长和收入分配。除了劳动力和传统资本这两个生产要素之外,我们认为自动化资本是第三个生产要素。我们还在模型中引入pasineti型储蓄函数,以研究资本家和工人储蓄率的差异如何影响经济增长和收入分配。我们发现,当资本家的储蓄率高于阈值水平时,无论工人的储蓄率如何,人均产出都表现出内生增长。在这种情况下,工人和资本家之间的收入差距随着时间的推移而扩大。相比之下,当资本家的储蓄率低于阈值水平时,根据工人的储蓄率会出现两种长期状态:资本家的自动化资本份额要么接近常数,要么接近零。在这两种情况下,人均产出增长都是零,两个阶层之间的收入差距随着时间的推移变得不变。我们还表明,引入对资本家征收机器人税的再分配政策可以缩小工人和资本家之间的收入差距。然而,这种收入再分配政策降低了人均产出增长。因此,在平等和增长之间存在一种权衡。
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引用次数: 0
The Contribution of the Social and Solidarity Economy to Economic Growth 社会和团结经济对经济增长的贡献
IF 0.9 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-05-23 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12501
Andrea Salustri, Sara Caria, Silvia Sacchetti, Eugenio Montefusco, Francesco De Pretis

This work extends the basic analytical framework of macroeconomic growth to encompass the notion of social inclusion and to reduce the inconsistencies between growth and development. Specifically, we introduce the social and solidarity economy (SSE) into the macroeconomic debate on economic growth to acknowledge and making visible its contribution to total output increase, while working towards greater inclusion. Our analytical strategy relies on the discussion of four theoretical models. First, we illustrate a modified version of the Solow model; second, we introduce social inclusion as a labour-augmenting factor, and we illustrate how it triggers endogenous growth. Third, we modify a simplified model of endogenous growth by introducing among the arguments of the production function social inclusion as a labour-augmenting factor and by replacing the R&D with the SSE production function. Fourth, we introduce an encompassing growth model to identify the optimal mix of social inclusion and technological progress that may support endogenous growth. The added value of our research is twofold: (1) we lay the foundations for an alternative pattern of development that may fit well the initial conditions of a low resource economy lacking endogenous technological progress, and (2) we propose a logical framework to identify a continuum of trajectories of development, that is coherent with the diversity of initial conditions observed at country level.

这项工作扩展了宏观经济增长的基本分析框架,以包括社会包容的概念,并减少增长与发展之间的不一致。具体而言,我们将社会和团结经济(SSE)引入经济增长的宏观经济讨论,以承认并展示其对总产出增长的贡献,同时努力实现更大的包容性。我们的分析策略依赖于四个理论模型的讨论。首先,我们说明了索洛模型的一个修改版本;其次,我们引入社会包容作为劳动力增加因素,并说明它如何触发内生增长。第三,我们修改了一个简化的内生增长模型,在生产函数中引入社会包容作为劳动力增加因素的论点,并用SSE生产函数代替r&d。第四,我们引入了一个包容性增长模型,以确定可能支持内生增长的社会包容和技术进步的最佳组合。我们研究的附加价值是双重的:(1)我们为另一种发展模式奠定了基础,这种模式可能很好地适应缺乏内生技术进步的低资源经济的初始条件;(2)我们提出了一个逻辑框架,以确定连续的发展轨迹,这与在国家层面观察到的初始条件的多样性是一致的。
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引用次数: 0
Biased Managers and Endogenous Delegation 有偏见的管理者与内生授权
IF 0.9 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-05-16 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12500
Kangsik Choi

We analyze the endogenous choice of hiring managers who have biased market demand under Bertrand competition. Contrary to previous findings, asymmetric equilibria emerge in which only one firm chooses to delegate. By introducing customary beliefs into model—where the owner correctly anticipates the intercept of the rival manager of firm's market demand—firms gain incentives to hire overconfident managers to restrict output. As a result, not all firms are simultaneously motivated to delegate for strategic reasons. In equilibrium, overconfident managers are more likely to lead their firms in ways that reduce consumer and total welfare.

我们分析了Bertrand竞争下市场需求偏倚的招聘经理的内生选择。与之前的发现相反,不对称均衡出现在只有一家公司选择委托的情况下。通过在模型中引入习惯信念——所有者正确地预测公司市场需求的竞争对手经理的截点——公司获得了雇佣过度自信的经理来限制产出的激励。因此,并非所有公司都同时出于战略原因而授权。在均衡状态下,过度自信的管理者更有可能以降低消费者和总福利的方式领导公司。
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引用次数: 0
Heterodox Economics Journals: A Network Analysis 非正统经济学期刊:网络分析
IF 0.9 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-04-18 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12498
José Alejandro Coronado, Roberto Veneziani

We provide a comprehensive examination of heterodox economics journals based on bibliometric data and social network analysis. We provide an updated ranking of the journals considered in a seminal contribution by Fred Lee and Bruce Cronin. We raise doubts on all rankings based on extensive definitions of heterodox (or heterodox-friendly) journals by identifying internally cohesive subcommunities of journals that hardly communicate with each other. In contrast, there exists a group of 14 core heterodox economics journals that form an internally cohesive group. We derive a ranking of these journals and analyse its dynamics over the last decade and a half.

我们提供了一个基于文献计量数据和社会网络分析的异端经济学期刊的全面检查。我们提供了Fred Lee和Bruce Cronin开创性贡献中考虑的期刊的最新排名。我们对所有基于非正统(或非正统友好)期刊的广泛定义的排名提出质疑,通过确定期刊内部凝聚力的亚社区,这些亚社区几乎没有相互沟通。相比之下,有14种核心的非正统经济学期刊形成了一个内部凝聚力的群体。我们得出了这些期刊的排名,并分析了其在过去15年的动态。
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引用次数: 0
Testing the Theory of the Firm Under Price and Background Risk: A Comment 价格与背景风险下企业理论检验述评
IF 0.9 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-03-19 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12496
Marco M. Sorge

This comment revisits the theoretical analysis of firm behavior under price and background risk conducted by Bonilla, Sabat and Vergara (BSV) in a recent article in this journal. It is shown that (i) additive background risk alone does not affect optimal production decisions relative to the certainty scenario, that (ii) output price risk alone entails a contraction in optimal production even for prudent entrepreneurs, and that (iii) BSV's characterization of positive precautionary output under multiple risks fails to hold in the presence of non-negatively correlated price and background risk.

这篇评论回顾了Bonilla, Sabat和Vergara (BSV)在本杂志最近发表的一篇文章中对价格和背景风险下企业行为的理论分析。结果表明:(i)相对于确定性情景,单独的附加性背景风险不会影响最优生产决策;(ii)即使对于谨慎的企业家,单独的产出价格风险也会导致最优生产的收缩;(iii)在价格和背景风险非负相关的情况下,多重风险下BSV对正预防性产出的描述无法成立。
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引用次数: 0
Delay Solow Model Revisited 对延迟索洛模型的重新审视
IF 0.9 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-02-20 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12494
Akio Matsumoto, Ferenc Szidarovszky

This paper shows how cyclic behavior can emerge in a simple Solow capital accumulation model. For this purpose, it introduces a production delay (i.e., time-to-build) and a depreciation delay, and the resultant capital accumulation equation is a delay differential equation having delay-dependent coefficients. Then, it constructs a condition under which the interaction of the delays and the population growth rate can lead to growth cycles that are not unlike those observed in reality. In particular, it is demonstrated that (i) the production delay alone is always harmless; (ii) with a lower population growth rate, the depreciation delay alone has a destabilizing effect if it is larger than a threshold value; (iii) with a larger population growth rate, the stable steady state arises regardless of the delay length. It is further demonstrated that multiple stability switchings can occur in the case of two distinct delays.

本文展示了循环行为如何在一个简单的索洛资本积累模型中出现。为此,它引入了生产延迟(即建造时间)和折旧延迟,由此得到的资本积累方程是一个具有延迟相关系数的延迟微分方程。然后,它构建了一个条件,在这个条件下,延迟和人口增长率的相互作用可以导致与现实中观察到的不同的增长周期。特别是,证明了:(1)生产延迟本身总是无害的;(ii)在人口增长率较低的情况下,如果折旧延迟大于阈值,则仅折旧延迟就会产生不稳定效应;(iii)当种群增长率较大时,无论延迟长度如何,都会出现稳定的稳态。进一步证明了在两个不同延迟的情况下可以发生多个稳定性切换。
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引用次数: 0
A Structural Decomposition of Imports in Argentina: The Role of Autonomous Demand, Income Distribution, and Productive Integration (1953–2018) 阿根廷进口的结构性分解:自主需求、收入分配和生产一体化的作用(1953-2018)
IF 0.9 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-18 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12493
Matías Torchinsky Landau

Foreign currency scarcity stands as one of the most significant constraints on growth for small open economies. This article investigates the determinants of import growth, the main source of demand for foreign currency, by introducing a novel adaptation of structural decomposition analysis, rooted in a Sraffian supermultiplier growth model. The decomposition is applied to Argentina's input-output matrices spanning 1953–2018. Findings reveal that autonomous demand is the primary long run determinant of imports, through its influence on output. While the role of income distribution in the long run is neglectable, it holds significance in the short term. The process of deindustrialization, initiated in the mid-70s, has amplified the influence of autonomous demand on imports. This further reduced the external space to boost demand and output through increased government spending and/or higher real wages.

外汇短缺是制约小型开放经济体增长的最重要因素之一。本文通过引入一种新的结构分解分析,以斯拉弗的超乘数增长模型为基础,研究了外汇需求的主要来源——进口增长的决定因素。将分解应用于阿根廷1953-2018年的投入产出矩阵。研究结果表明,自主需求是进口的主要长期决定因素,通过其对产出的影响。虽然收入分配的作用从长期来看是可以忽略不计的,但在短期内却具有重要意义。70年代中期开始的去工业化进程扩大了自主需求对进口的影响。这进一步减少了通过增加政府支出和/或提高实际工资来提振需求和产出的外部空间。
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引用次数: 0
Consumer Environmental Awareness in a Green Managerial Delegation Contract Under Common Ownership 共同所有权下绿色管理委托合同中的消费者环境意识
IF 1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-08 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12492
Mingqing Xing, Sang-Ho Lee

This study examines consumers' environmental awareness (CEA) in a green managerial delegation contract with environmental incentives under common ownership. We find that higher CEA increases environmental incentives, while an increase of common ownership may reduce environmental incentives if CEA is high enough. We also demonstrate that an increase of common ownership is profitable to the industry through environmental incentives only when both CEA and common ownership are small enough, but a higher CEA can reduce the industry-wide profitable level of common ownership. Our analysis reveals that the government should monitor the higher level of common ownership and induce higher environmental incentives as CEA increases.

本研究考察了共同所有权下具有环境激励的绿色管理委托合同中消费者的环境意识。我们发现,较高的CEA会增加环境激励,而当CEA足够高时,共同所有权的增加可能会降低环境激励。我们还证明,只有当CEA和普通股所有权都足够小时,通过环境激励增加普通股所有权对行业有利,但较高的CEA会降低整个行业的普通股所有权的盈利水平。我们的分析表明,政府应该监控更高的公有制水平,并随着CEA的增加而诱导更高的环境激励。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Metroeconomica
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