Simulations of Policy Responses During the COVID-19 Crisis in Argentina: Effects on Socioeconomic Indicators

Q3 Social Sciences International Journal of Microsimulation Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI:10.34196/ijm.00269
J. Martinez-Correa, G. Cruces, J. Menduiña, J. Puig
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Abstract

This paper simulates the effects of policy responses to the COVID-19 pandemic on household income and employment in Argentina, using household survey data and administrative data on employment and wages by economic sectors. The paper also includes a gender and age group analysis. The results indicate that during the COVID-19 crisis, household income decreased. This welfare loss was nonlinear along the income distribution, with the lowest income earners suffering the most due to relatively higher informality at the bottom of the income distribution. The policy responses seem to ameliorate by around one-third what the average drop in household income, and prevented major increases in poverty and inequality © 2022, Martinez-Correa et al
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新冠肺炎危机期间阿根廷政策应对的模拟:对社会经济指标的影响
本文利用住户调查数据和各经济部门就业和工资的行政数据,模拟了应对COVID-19大流行的政策对阿根廷家庭收入和就业的影响。本文还包括性别和年龄组分析。结果表明,在2019冠状病毒病危机期间,家庭收入下降。这种福利损失沿收入分配呈非线性,由于收入分配底部相对较高的非正式性,最低收入者遭受的损失最大。政策应对措施似乎改善了家庭收入平均降幅的三分之一左右,并防止了贫困和不平等的大幅增加©2022,Martinez-Correa等人
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来源期刊
International Journal of Microsimulation
International Journal of Microsimulation Mathematics-Modeling and Simulation
CiteScore
0.80
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0.00%
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0
期刊介绍: The IJM covers research in all aspects of microsimulation modelling. It publishes high quality contributions making use of microsimulation models to address specific research questions in all scientific areas, as well as methodological and technical issues. IJM concern: the description, validation, benchmarking and replication of microsimulation models; results coming from microsimulation models, in particular policy evaluation and counterfactual analysis; technical or methodological aspect of microsimulation modelling; reviews of models and results, as well as of technical or methodological issues.
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