{"title":"Economic impact of the COVID-19 outbreak in Turkey: analysis of vulnerability and resilience of regions and diversely affected economic sectors","authors":"Suat Tuysuz, Tüzin Baycan, Fatih Altuğ","doi":"10.1007/s41685-022-00255-6","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The COVID-19 outbreak has deeply affected the global economy of most countries and Turkey is no exception. However, the impacts of the outbreak differ on a regional basis, and both scientists and policymakers have neglected this regional differentiation. In an attempt to redress this situation, our study aimed to reveal the regional disparities related to the economic impacts of the outbreak and the dynamics that created this differentiation in Turkey. Our statistical analyses were carried out based on two different periods. The first period covered the first trimester when the outbreak began, and several shutdowns were implemented. The second period covered the second trimester when society began to open up again. The first trimester was termed the shock period, and the second trimester the recovery period. We developed a resilient–vulnerability index based on selected variables such as employment, energy consumption, exports, and the number of companies established and closed using a location quotient (LQ) analysis. While our index offers a picture of resilient and vulnerable regions, we also used this index as a dependent variable in our study. In the second stage, we focused on what kinds of dynamics gave rise to the resilience or vulnerability of a region. Our findings revealed that regions are economically affected by the outbreak at different levels. The regression analysis results showed that the innovation capacity and export levels of the regions predict regional resilience negatively, while firm size predicts positively. The recovery of regions also differed regionally. Our analyses show that Turkish regions with relatively larger economies recover more slowly, while regions with smaller economies recover more quickly.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":36164,"journal":{"name":"Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9000,"publicationDate":"2022-08-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"2","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s41685-022-00255-6","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Abstract
The COVID-19 outbreak has deeply affected the global economy of most countries and Turkey is no exception. However, the impacts of the outbreak differ on a regional basis, and both scientists and policymakers have neglected this regional differentiation. In an attempt to redress this situation, our study aimed to reveal the regional disparities related to the economic impacts of the outbreak and the dynamics that created this differentiation in Turkey. Our statistical analyses were carried out based on two different periods. The first period covered the first trimester when the outbreak began, and several shutdowns were implemented. The second period covered the second trimester when society began to open up again. The first trimester was termed the shock period, and the second trimester the recovery period. We developed a resilient–vulnerability index based on selected variables such as employment, energy consumption, exports, and the number of companies established and closed using a location quotient (LQ) analysis. While our index offers a picture of resilient and vulnerable regions, we also used this index as a dependent variable in our study. In the second stage, we focused on what kinds of dynamics gave rise to the resilience or vulnerability of a region. Our findings revealed that regions are economically affected by the outbreak at different levels. The regression analysis results showed that the innovation capacity and export levels of the regions predict regional resilience negatively, while firm size predicts positively. The recovery of regions also differed regionally. Our analyses show that Turkish regions with relatively larger economies recover more slowly, while regions with smaller economies recover more quickly.
期刊介绍:
The Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science expands the frontiers of regional science through the diffusion of intrinsically developed and advanced modern, regional science methodologies throughout the Asia-Pacific region. Articles published in the journal foster progress and development of regional science through the promotion of comprehensive and interdisciplinary academic studies in relationship to research in regional science across the globe. The journal’s scope includes articles dedicated to theoretical economics, positive economics including econometrics and statistical analysis and input–output analysis, CGE, Simulation, applied economics including international economics, regional economics, industrial organization, analysis of governance and institutional issues, law and economics, migration and labor markets, spatial economics, land economics, urban economics, agricultural economics, environmental economics, behavioral economics and spatial analysis with GIS/RS data education economics, sociology including urban sociology, rural sociology, environmental sociology and educational sociology, as well as traffic engineering. The journal provides a unique platform for its research community to further develop, analyze, and resolve urgent regional and urban issues in Asia, and to further refine established research around the world in this multidisciplinary field. The journal invites original articles, proposals, and book reviews.The Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science is a new English-language journal that spun out of Chiikigakukenkyuu, which has a 45-year history of publishing the best Japanese research in regional science in the Japanese language and, more recently and more frequently, in English. The development of regional science as an international discipline has necessitated the need for a new publication in English. The Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science is a publishing vehicle for English-language contributions to the field in Japan, across the complete Asia-Pacific arena, and beyond.Content published in this journal is peer reviewed (Double Blind).