In NATO We Trust(?): The Russian Invasion of Ukraine and EU27 Citizens’ Trust in NATO

IF 1.7 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Peace Economics Peace Science and Public Policy Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI:10.1515/peps-2023-0029
Athina Economou, C. Kollias
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Abstract Institutional trust is trust in state’s institutions and organizations. Institutional trust also involves trust towards international and intergovernmental organizations such as the UN, the EU and NATO. Institutional trust includes citizens’ trust towards the national security apparatus or security providing organizations such as NATO. The 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine is a major event with wide-ranging momentous political, economic and strategic ramifications. The latter affect European states’ security and defence. Such important events impact citizens’ risk-perceptions (in)security sentiments and hence their trust towards institutions assigned with the task of providing security. The paper examines how the Russian invasion has affected European citizens’ trust towards NATO. To probe into the issue, it uses data from two Eurobarometer surveys. A survey that took place just before the invasion in January and February 2022 and a survey that took place in June and July. A similar to regression discontinuity empirical setup is adopted to examine how European citizens’ trust towards NATO was impacted by the invasion. The empirical findings reported herein are not uniform across all EU member-countries and indicate noteworthy differences on trust towards NATO as a result of the Russian invasion. Nonetheless, on balance, a statistically significant effect is traced by the estimated regressions.
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我们信任北约(?):俄罗斯入侵乌克兰和欧盟27国公民对北约的信任
制度信任是对国家机构和组织的信任。机构信任还包括对联合国、欧盟和北约等国际和政府间组织的信任。机构信任包括公民对国家安全机构或北约等安全提供组织的信任。2022年俄罗斯入侵乌克兰是一个具有广泛重大政治、经济和战略影响的重大事件。后者影响欧洲国家的安全和防务。这些重要事件影响了公民对安全情绪的风险认知,从而影响了他们对负责提供安全的机构的信任。本文考察了俄罗斯的入侵如何影响了欧洲公民对北约的信任。为了调查这个问题,它使用了两次欧洲晴雨表调查的数据。一项在2022年1月和2月入侵前进行的调查,以及一项在6月和7月进行的调查。采用类似于回归不连续性的实证设置来考察欧洲公民对北约的信任如何受到入侵的影响。本文报告的实证结果并非所有欧盟成员国都一致,并表明由于俄罗斯入侵,在对北约的信任方面存在显著差异。尽管如此,总的来说,通过估计的回归可以得出统计上显著的影响。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
10.00%
发文量
13
期刊介绍: The journal accepts rigorous, non-technical papers especially in research methods in peace science, but also regular papers dealing with all aspects of the peace science field, from pure abstract theory to practical applied research. As a guide to topics: - Arms Control and International Security - Artificial Intelligence and Cognitive Studies - Behavioral Studies - Conflict Analysis and Management - Cooperation, Alliances and Games - Crises and War Studies - Critical Economic Aspects of the Global Crises - Deterrence Theory - Empirical and Historical Studies on the Causes of War - Game, Prospect and Related Theory - Harmony and Conflict - Hierarchy Theory
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